Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zira FK vs SumQayit FK

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup Zira Stadium, Zira
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Volkovi D.
58'
Ibrahimli I.
63'
Sub
Simon N. In: Ninkovic N.
Out: Simon N.

AI Match Summary

Zira FK in this Azerbaijan Cup tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Zira FK
22%
Draws
18%
SumQayit FK
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Zira FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zira FK lately — more wins on the board than SumQayit FK.
  • Model gives Zira FK a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Zira FK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zira FK, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zira FK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Zira FK Clean Sheet 68%
SumQayit FK Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zira FK SumQayit FK
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 12 4
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 0.88 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
Zira FK vs SumQayit FK
2:1
Mar 3, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Zira FK vs SumQayit FK
2:0
Feb 8, 2026 Premier League
SumQayit FK vs Zira FK
2:3
Feb 4, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
SumQayit FK vs Zira FK
0:0
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Zira FK vs SumQayit FK
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zira FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Volkovi D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nuriyev C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

SumQayit FK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zira FK 68 / 100
SumQayit FK 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zira FK SumQayit FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zira FK scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

SumQayit FK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Zira FK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zira FK VS SumQayit FK
0.88 Goals Scored 1.57
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.57
63% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Zira FK

(Home)
23 Jul
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 0
Zira FK
16 Jul
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 3
Zira FK
08 Jul
Zira FK
3 : 0
Torpedo Kutaisi
23 May
Araz PFK
3 : 2
Zira FK
17 May
Zira FK
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
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SumQayit FK

(Away)
22 May
SumQayit FK
3 : 4
Qarabag Agdam
17 May
Zira FK
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
09 May
SumQayit FK
2 : 1
Araz PFK
02 May
Kapaz
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
25 Apr
Imisli FK
0 : 2
SumQayit FK
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sabail0
Shamakhi1
Goygol0
Baku Sporting2
Qarabag Agdam-
TBD-
Karvan3
Sheki City1
Lokbatan2
Imisli FK3
TBD-
Sabah Baku-
Gabala5
Mingachevir1
Cebrayil0
Safa Baku3
Shimal0
Sahdag Qusar2
Dinamo Baki0
Turan5
Araz PFK-
TBD-
Kapaz6
Agstafa Gencleri1
FC Khankendi1
Difai Agsu2
Zaqatala PFK0
SumQayit FK3
Zira FK-
TBD-
Neftci Baku6
MOIK Baku2
1/8-finals
Shamakhi1
Baku Sporting0
Qarabag Agdam3
Karvan0
Imisli FK1
Sabah Baku2
Gabala2
Safa Baku1
Sahdag Qusar1
Turan2
Araz PFK0
Kapaz1
Difai Agsu1
SumQayit FK3
Zira FK1
Neftci Baku0
Quarter-finals
Shamakhi3
Qarabag Agdam4
Sabah Baku4
Gabala3
Turan3
Kapaz0
SumQayit FK0
Zira FK2
Semi-finals
Qarabag Agdam3
Sabah Baku4
Turan0
Zira FK2
Final
Sabah Baku2
Zira FK1