Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ziri vs Tolmin

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Cubeddu I.
63' Event
Kurincic J.
72' Event
Cubeddu I.

AI Match Summary

Tolmin in this 3. SNL - West matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tolmin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Ziri
35%
Draws
50%
Tolmin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tolmin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tolmin lately — more wins on the board than Ziri.
  • Win probability leans Tolmin's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tolmin have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ziri Clean Sheet 10%
Tolmin Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ziri Tolmin
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.03 2
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 3. SNL - West
Ziri vs Tolmin
2:4
May 23, 2026 3. SNL - West
Ziri vs Tolmin
0:3
Nov 8, 2025 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Ziri
3:1
May 13, 2023 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Ziri
2:0
Nov 8, 2022 3. SNL - West
Ziri vs Tolmin
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ziri Compare

Top Goalscorer Coric A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mohoric M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Tolmin Compare

Top Goalscorer Cubeddu I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kurincic J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ziri 22 / 100
Tolmin 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ziri Tolmin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tolmin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Tolmin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Ziri has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Ziri scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ziri VS Tolmin
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ziri

(Home)
27 Sept
Ziri
0 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
20 Sept
Skofja Loka
1 : 1
Ziri
13 Sept
Ziri
2 : 4
Tolmin
04 Sept
Sencur
0 : 0
Ziri
29 Aug
Ziri
0 : 3
Dob
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Tolmin

(Away)
27 Sept
Tolmin
5 : 1
Rudar Trbovlje
19 Sept
Tolmin
0 : 1
Izola
13 Sept
Ziri
2 : 4
Tolmin
05 Sept
Tolmin
2 : 2
Skofja Loka
29 Aug
Tolmin
1 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izola 7 7 0 0 34:4 21
2 Dob 7 5 1 1 18:6 16
3 Zidgrad Idrija 7 5 1 1 11:7 16
4 Tolmin 7 3 3 1 16:10 12
5 Sencur 7 3 3 1 13:9 12
6 Litija 7 3 2 2 11:7 11
7 Rudar Trbovlje 7 3 1 3 10:15 10
8 Skofja Loka 7 2 3 2 12:16 9
9 Adria Miren 7 2 1 4 11:14 7
10 Ziri 7 1 4 2 7:10 7
11 Fama Vipava 7 2 0 5 13:30 6
12 IB 1975 Ljubljana 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
13 Sobec Lesce 7 0 3 4 6:13 3
14 Ljubljana Svoboda 7 0 1 6 5:19 1
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)