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Zitacuaro vs Halcones de Zapopan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Zitacuaro Logo

Zitacuaro

1 - 0
FT
Halcones de Zapopan Logo

Halcones de Zapopan

Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Espinosa Garcia D. Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Zitacuaro and Halcones de Zapopan finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zitacuaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Zitacuaro
35%
Draws
32%
Halcones de Zapopan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Zitacuaro haven't matched Halcones de Zapopan's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Zitacuaro Clean Sheet 20%
Halcones de Zapopan Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zitacuaro Halcones de Zapopan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Zitacuaro vs Halcones de Zapopan
1:0
Nov 21, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Halcones de Zapopan vs Zitacuaro
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zitacuaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Espinosa Garcia D. Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Halcones de Zapopan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zitacuaro 32 / 100
Halcones de Zapopan 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zitacuaro Halcones de Zapopan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Halcones de Zapopan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zitacuaro scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Zitacuaro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Halcones de Zapopan conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Zitacuaro VS Halcones de Zapopan
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zitacuaro

(Home)
11 Apr
Zitacuaro
1 : 0
Halcones de Zapopan
06 Apr
Zitacuaro
1 : 1
FC Santiago
29 Mar
Lobos ULMX
1 : 0
Zitacuaro
24 Mar
Zitacuaro
1 : 2
Apodaca
14 Mar
Chilpancingo
1 : 1
Zitacuaro
Page 1 of 6

Halcones de Zapopan

(Away)
03 May
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 1
Halcones de Zapopan
29 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
0 : 0
Alacranes de Durango
25 Apr
Racing de Veracruz
0 : 2
Halcones de Zapopan
22 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
0 : 0
Racing de Veracruz
19 Apr
Tigres de Alica
2 : 1
Halcones de Zapopan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)