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Zitacuaro vs Lobos ULMX

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ramirez E.
53' Event
Munoz J.
74'
Fonseca A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Zitacuaro and Lobos ULMX finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lobos ULMX.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Zitacuaro
20%
Draws
44%
Lobos ULMX
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lobos ULMX

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Zitacuaro haven't matched Lobos ULMX's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Zitacuaro taking it.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Zitacuaro Clean Sheet 20%
Lobos ULMX Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zitacuaro Lobos ULMX
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Lobos ULMX vs Zitacuaro
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Zitacuaro vs Lobos ULMX
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zitacuaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Lobos ULMX Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aceves E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zitacuaro 42 / 100
Lobos ULMX 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zitacuaro Lobos ULMX

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zitacuaro's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lobos ULMX has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Zitacuaro remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zitacuaro VS Lobos ULMX
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zitacuaro

(Home)
11 Apr
Zitacuaro
1 : 0
Halcones de Zapopan
06 Apr
Zitacuaro
1 : 1
FC Santiago
29 Mar
Lobos ULMX
1 : 0
Zitacuaro
24 Mar
Zitacuaro
1 : 2
Apodaca
14 Mar
Chilpancingo
1 : 1
Zitacuaro
Page 1 of 6

Lobos ULMX

(Away)
13 Sept
Lobos ULMX
1 : 2
Los Cabos United
05 Sept
Zacatepec
2 : 1
Lobos ULMX
12 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 1
Lobos ULMX
29 Mar
Lobos ULMX
1 : 0
Zitacuaro
20 Mar
Atletico Hidalgo
1 : 3
Lobos ULMX
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)