Sport Picks

Croatia

3. HNL South

Zmaj Makarska

1 - 0

Jadran Luka Ploce

Our Tip

Match Events

No Data

No live events recorded yet.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Zmaj Makarska and Jadran Luka Ploce finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zmaj Makarska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Zmaj Makarska

Draws

90%

Jadran Luka Ploce

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Jadran Luka Ploce has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Zmaj Makarska.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Jadran Luka Ploce.
League standings and seasonal metrics in 3. HNL South provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Zmaj Makarska Clean Sheet 20%

Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zmaj Makarska	Jadran Luka Ploce
Matches Played	30	44
Wins	10	24
Draws	9	6
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	0	1
Goals Conceded	0	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2022 3. HNL South

Zmaj Makarska vs Jadran Luka Ploce

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Aug 28, 2021 3. HNL South

Jadran Luka Ploce vs Zmaj Makarska

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Mar 20, 2021 3. HNL South

Zmaj Makarska vs Jadran Luka Ploce

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Aug 29, 2020 3. HNL South

Jadran Luka Ploce vs Zmaj Makarska

Possession: 45% - 41% Cards: 4 - 3

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zmaj Makarska 10 / 100

Jadran Luka Ploce 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zmaj Makarska Jadran Luka Ploce

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JLP Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zmaj Makarska scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Jadran Luka Ploce let in goals in 64% of their last 44 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Zmaj Makarska went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Jadran Luka Ploce lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jadran Luka Ploce

0 Goals Scored 1

0 Goals Conceded 2.25

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jadran Luka Ploce	34	20	5	9	67:28	65
2	Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje	34	18	6	10	56:38	60
3	Hrvace	34	18	6	10	46:39	60
4	HNK Zadar	34	16	11	7	69:28	59
5	Neretva	34	16	7	11	50:36	55
6	RNK Split	34	15	7	12	52:40	52
7	NK Junak Sinj	34	16	4	14	49:46	52
8	Uskok Klis	34	15	6	13	51:54	51
9	Sloga Mravince	34	12	14	8	48:45	50
10	Primorac Biograd	34	14	6	14	60:56	48
11	Zagora	34	12	8	14	47:52	44
12	GOSK Dubrovnik	34	11	10	13	35:34	43
13	Zmaj Makarska	34	11	10	13	28:39	43
14	Neretvanac	34	10	8	16	40:53	38
15	Kamen Podbablje	34	9	10	15	37:51	37
16	Vodice	34	8	9	17	44:73	33
17	Urania Baska Voda	34	10	3	21	33:65	33
18	OSK Otok	34	6	8	20	48:83	26