Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zmaj Makarska vs Neretvanac - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Zmaj Makarska and Neretvanac finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zmaj Makarska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zmaj Makarska
20%
Draws
40%
Neretvanac
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zmaj Makarska come out ahead of Neretvanac on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Zmaj Makarska taking it.
  • Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Zmaj Makarska Clean Sheet 20%
Neretvanac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zmaj Makarska Neretvanac
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 0.83 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2022 3. HNL South
Zmaj Makarska vs Neretvanac
1:0
Sep 29, 2021 3. HNL South
Neretvanac vs Zmaj Makarska
3:0
May 19, 2021 3. HNL South
Neretvanac vs Zmaj Makarska
2:2
Oct 31, 2020 3. HNL South
Zmaj Makarska vs Neretvanac
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zmaj Makarska 42 / 100
Neretvanac 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zmaj Makarska Neretvanac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neretvanac let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Zmaj Makarska's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Away concern: Neretvanac has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zmaj Makarska VS Neretvanac
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zmaj Makarska

(Home)
03 Aug
Zmaj Makarska
0 : 2
NK Junak Sinj
28 May
OSK Otok
2 : 1
Zmaj Makarska
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0
Primorac Biograd
15 May
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 0
Zmaj Makarska
07 May
Zmaj Makarska
0 : 0
Zagora
Page 1 of 6

Neretvanac

(Away)
18 Sept
Neretvanac
1 : 3
Rijeka
28 Aug
Neretvanac
2 : 0
Bedem Ivankovo
28 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
5 : 0
Neretvanac
22 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1
OSK Otok
14 May
Primorac Biograd
2 : 1
Neretvanac
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)