Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Zmaj Makarska in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zmaj Makarska.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Primorac Biograd have won more games recently than Zmaj Makarska.
- Win probability leans Primorac Biograd's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Zmaj Makarska Clean Sheet 20%
Primorac Biograd Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zmaj Makarska | Primorac Biograd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 22, 2022 3. HNL South
Zmaj Makarska vs Primorac Biograd
1:0
Nov 20, 2021 3. HNL South
Primorac Biograd vs Zmaj Makarska
1:0
Apr 10, 2021 3. HNL South
Primorac Biograd vs Zmaj Makarska
1:1
Sep 19, 2020 3. HNL South
Zmaj Makarska vs Primorac Biograd
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zmaj Makarska 28 / 100
Primorac Biograd 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zmaj Makarska Primorac Biograd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Primorac Biograd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Zmaj Makarska scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Primorac Biograd let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.75 goals.
Primorac Biograd lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Zmaj Makarska VS Primorac Biograd
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Zmaj Makarska
(Home) 03 Aug
Zmaj Makarska
0 : 2 NK Junak Sinj
28 May
OSK Otok
2 : 1 Zmaj Makarska
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0 Primorac Biograd
15 May
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 0 Zmaj Makarska
07 May
Zmaj Makarska
0 : 0 Zagora
Page 1 of 6
03 Aug
Zmaj Makarska
0 : 2 NK Junak Sinj
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0 Primorac Biograd
07 May
Zmaj Makarska
0 : 0 Zagora
23 Apr
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0 Vodice
16 Apr
Zmaj Makarska
0 : 3 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
Page 1 of 4
Primorac Biograd
(Away) 30 Aug
Primorac Biograd
0 : 2 Radnik Krizevci
19 Oct
Primorac Biograd
1 : 4 Varazdin
31 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4 Primorac Biograd
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1 RNK Split
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0 Primorac Biograd
Page 1 of 6
31 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4 Primorac Biograd
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0 Primorac Biograd
08 May
Urania Baska Voda
3 : 1 Primorac Biograd
23 Apr
Kamen Podbablje
2 : 2 Primorac Biograd
16 Apr
Uskok Klis
4 : 0 Primorac Biograd
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jadran Luka Ploce | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 67:28 | 65 |
| 2 | Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:38 | 60 |
| 3 | Hrvace | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 46:39 | 60 |
| 4 | HNK Zadar | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 69:28 | 59 |
| 5 | Neretva | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:36 | 55 |
| 6 | RNK Split | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 52:40 | 52 |
| 7 | NK Junak Sinj | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Uskok Klis | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 51:54 | 51 |
| 9 | Sloga Mravince | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 48:45 | 50 |
| 10 | Primorac Biograd | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 60:56 | 48 |
| 11 | Zagora | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 47:52 | 44 |
| 12 | GOSK Dubrovnik | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:34 | 43 |
| 13 | Zmaj Makarska | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 28:39 | 43 |
| 14 | Neretvanac | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 40:53 | 38 |
| 15 | Kamen Podbablje | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37:51 | 37 |
| 16 | Vodice | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 44:73 | 33 |
| 17 | Urania Baska Voda | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 33:65 | 33 |
| 18 | OSK Otok | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 48:83 | 26 |
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)
