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Zorya vs Gagra

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Budkivskyi P.
69' Event
Andjusic N.

AI Match Summary

Zorya in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zorya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Zorya
30%
Draws
51%
Gagra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gagra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zorya lately — more wins on the board than Gagra.
  • Model gives Gagra a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Zorya Clean Sheet 12%
Gagra Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zorya Gagra
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 10 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.7 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Zorya vs Gagra
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zorya Compare

Top Goalscorer Budkivskyi P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andjusic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Gagra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zorya 14 / 100
Gagra 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zorya Gagra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zorya found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Gagra conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Zorya stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zorya VS Gagra
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zorya

(Home)
09 Aug
Zorya
1 : 3
Kryvbas
31 Jul
Zorya
2 : 0
Kolos Kovalivka
23 Jul
Zorya
1 : 2
Goztepe
18 Jul
Zorya
1 : 1
Grimsby
15 Jul
Zorya
1 : 2
Konyaspor
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Gagra

(Away)
08 Aug
Dinamo Batumi
2 : 2
Gagra
02 Aug
FC Gareji Sagarejo
1 : 4
Gagra
27 Jul
Samtskhe
1 : 2
Gagra
15 Jul
Gagra
3 : 1
BKMA
11 Jul
Gagra
2 : 2
Urartu
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