Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zorya vs Gagra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Budkivskyi P.
69' Event
Andjusic N.

AI Match Summary

Zorya in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zorya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zorya
35%
Draws
25%
Gagra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zorya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Zorya at 1.52 per game, Gagra at 1.2.
  • Model gives Zorya a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Zorya Clean Sheet 20%
Gagra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zorya Gagra
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Zorya vs Gagra
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zorya Compare

Top Goalscorer Budkivskyi P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andjusic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Gagra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zorya 58 / 100
Gagra 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zorya Gagra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zorya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zorya found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Gagra conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Zorya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zorya VS Gagra
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zorya

(Home)
04 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 2
Zorya
19 Sept
Zorya
0 : 2
Dynamo Kyiv
13 Sept
Bukovyna
1 : 1
Zorya
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2
Zorya
06 Sept
Veres Rivne
1 : 1
Zorya
Page 1 of 6

Gagra

(Away)
19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gagra
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0
Gagra
31 Aug
Gagra
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
Page 1 of 6