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ZPC Kariba vs Triangle

Zimbabwe Zimbabwe

Premier Soccer League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier Soccer League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
ZPC Kariba
20%
Draws
51%
Triangle
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Triangle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ZPC Kariba lately — more wins on the board than Triangle.
  • Win probability leans Triangle's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Premier Soccer League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
ZPC Kariba Clean Sheet 20%
Triangle Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ZPC Kariba Triangle
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 14 7
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 0.61 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Premier Soccer League
ZPC Kariba vs Triangle
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 Premier Soccer League
Triangle vs ZPC Kariba
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Premier Soccer League
ZPC Kariba vs Triangle
1:0
Apr 30, 2025 Premier Soccer League
Triangle vs ZPC Kariba
1:2
Sep 3, 2023 Premier Soccer League
Triangle vs ZPC Kariba
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ZPC Kariba 28 / 100
Triangle 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ZPC Kariba Triangle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Triangle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Triangle conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

ZPC Kariba's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: ZPC Kariba stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ZPC Kariba VS Triangle
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ZPC Kariba

(Home)
19 Sept
Platinum
1 : 0
ZPC Kariba
12 Sept
CAPS Utd
2 : 1
ZPC Kariba
05 Sept
ZPC Kariba
0 : 0
Simba Bhora
22 Aug
MWOS
4 : 1
ZPC Kariba
15 Aug
Ngezi Platinum
0 : 1
ZPC Kariba
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Triangle

(Away)
20 Sept
Bulawayo Chiefs
1 : 2
Triangle
05 Sept
Triangle
0 : 0
Highlanders
22 Aug
TelOne
0 : 2
Triangle
01 Aug
Triangle
0 : 1
Hunters
26 Jul
Manica
1 : 0
Triangle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scottland 29 17 10 2 45:10 61
2 Hardrock 29 18 6 5 51:19 60
3 Dynamos 29 12 14 3 39:21 50
4 Ngezi Platinum 29 12 13 4 35:25 49
5 Herentals 29 14 6 9 31:26 48
6 CAPS Utd 29 12 11 6 34:25 47
7 Highlanders 29 9 15 5 26:21 42
8 Chicken Inn 29 11 8 10 23:24 41
9 MWOS 29 9 12 8 27:22 39
10 Platinum 29 8 15 6 19:20 39
11 Simba Bhora 29 8 11 10 29:30 35
12 Bulawayo Chiefs 29 7 10 12 25:33 31
13 Hunters 29 6 13 10 22:33 31
14 ZPC Kariba 29 5 14 10 17:26 29
15 Agama 29 6 7 16 17:38 25
16 Triangle 29 5 7 17 20:35 22
17 TelOne 29 4 9 16 20:42 21
18 Manica 29 4 7 18 14:44 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)