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Zug vs Breitenrain

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sulimani F.
15'
Pahud C.
45'
Teichmann Ch.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Zug advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Zug
15%
Draws
59%
Breitenrain
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Breitenrain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Breitenrain carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Breitenrain's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Breitenrain arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zug, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Zug Clean Sheet 10%
Breitenrain Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zug Breitenrain
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 2.41
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Swiss Cup
Zug vs Breitenrain
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zug Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Campello
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

Breitenrain Compare

Avg xG / game 2.19
Avg xA / game 1.34

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zug 18 / 100
Breitenrain 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zug Breitenrain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Breitenrain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zug's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Breitenrain conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Zug went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zug VS Breitenrain
1.29 Goals Scored 2.38
2.43 Goals Conceded 1.63
71% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 100%
57% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Zug

(Home)
13 Sept
Langenthal
6 : 2
Zug
05 Sept
Zug
2 : 2
Buochs
29 Aug
Grasshopper II
1 : 2
Zug
22 Aug
Zug
0 : 1
Muri-Gumligen
15 Aug
Wohlen
3 : 2
Zug
Page 1 of 6

Breitenrain

(Away)
12 Sept
Grand-Saconnex
1 : 0
Breitenrain
05 Sept
Breitenrain
1 : 0
Luzern II
29 Aug
FC Kreuzlingen
1 : 0
Breitenrain
19 Aug
Breitenrain
4 : 2
Young Boys II
15 Aug
Paradiso
1 : 2
Breitenrain
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Vernier 0
Echallens 1
Veyrier-Sports 0
Lausanne Ouchy 2
Harkingen 2
Schaffhausen 3
SV Schaffhausen 0
Winterthur 5
Zug 1
Mendrisio 0
Breitenrain 1
Thun 0
Breitenbach 0
Bosna Neuchatel 5
Perlen-Buchrain 0
Luzern 3
Romanshorn 2
Altstatten 4
Cham 3
Lugano 2
SC Nebikon 0
Bellinzona 4
Lachen/Altendorf 0
Grasshoppers 2
Wohlen 1
Aarau 3
Courtetelle 1
Young Boys 4
FC Lommiswil 1
Prishtina Bern 4
Ajoie-Monterri 0
Sion 2
La Tour Le Paquier 0
Stade Nyonnais 4
Wettswil-Bonstetten 0
Zurich 2
Unterstrass 5
Klingnau 4
Diaspora 2
Xamax 3
Stade Payerne 1
Yverdon 3
Dardania Lausanne 0
Servette 5
Azzurri Bienne 0
Concordia 8
Vevey 1
Lausanne 2
FC Morbio 2
Gossau 1
Volketswil 0
Rapperswil-Jona 8
Kriens 2
Wil 3
Walenstadt 0
St. Gallen 13
CS Le Locle 2
FC Saxon-Sports 1
La Sarraz-Eclepens 1
Grand-Saconnex 4
Bernex 0
Etoile-Carouge 3
Biel 1
Basel 6
1/16-finals
Echallens 0
Lausanne Ouchy 1
Schaffhausen 0
Winterthur 4
Zug 1
Breitenrain 0
Bosna Neuchatel 0
Luzern 6
Altstatten 0
Cham 3
Bellinzona 0
Grasshoppers 1
Aarau 1
Young Boys 0
Prishtina Bern 0
Sion 2
Stade Nyonnais 2
Zurich 1
Unterstrass 0
Xamax 5
Yverdon 1
Servette 0
Concordia 1
Lausanne 4
FC Morbio 0
Rapperswil-Jona 4
Wil 1
St. Gallen 2
CS Le Locle 3
Grand-Saconnex 4
Etoile-Carouge 2
Basel 3
1/8-finals
Lausanne Ouchy 1
Winterthur 0
Zug 1
Luzern 4
Cham 1
Grasshoppers 2
Aarau 1
Sion 3
Stade Nyonnais 1
Xamax 2
Yverdon 2
Lausanne 1
Rapperswil-Jona 1
St. Gallen 2
Grand-Saconnex 1
Basel 3
Quarter-finals
Lausanne Ouchy 2
Luzern 1
Grasshoppers 4
Sion 3
Xamax 1
Yverdon 2
St. Gallen 2
Basel 1
Semi-finals
Lausanne Ouchy 2
Grasshoppers 0
Yverdon 0
St. Gallen 2
Final
Lausanne Ouchy 0
St. Gallen 3