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Zug vs Muri-Gumligen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 2
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AI Match Summary

The 1.Liga Classic Group 2 game between Zug and Muri-Gumligen finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Muri-Gumligen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Zug
15%
Draws
36%
Muri-Gumligen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zug

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Zug carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Zug Clean Sheet 20%
Muri-Gumligen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zug Muri-Gumligen
Matches Played 29 11
Wins 7 6
Draws 7 1
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.28 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Zug vs Muri-Gumligen
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zug 32 / 100
Muri-Gumligen 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zug Muri-Gumligen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zug found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Muri-Gumligen has conceded goals in 64% of their last 11 outings.

Muri-Gumligen's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Zug VS Muri-Gumligen
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zug

(Home)
03 Oct
Zug
1 : 2
Courtetelle
26 Sept
Concordia
3 : 0
Zug
19 Sept
Zug
1 : 0
Delemont
13 Sept
Langenthal
6 : 2
Zug
05 Sept
Zug
2 : 2
Buochs
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Muri-Gumligen

(Away)
03 Oct
Muri-Gumligen
2 : 3
Concordia
27 Sept
Delemont
3 : 0
Muri-Gumligen
19 Sept
Muri-Gumligen
3 : 4
Langenthal
12 Sept
Buochs
2 : 0
Muri-Gumligen
05 Sept
Muri-Gumligen
2 : 0
Grasshopper II
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Langenthal 9 7 1 1 25:16 22
2 Schotz 9 5 2 2 24:14 17
3 Courtetelle 9 5 1 3 18:11 16
4 Grasshopper II 9 5 0 4 14:12 15
5 Concordia 9 4 2 3 16:12 14
6 Muttenz 9 4 2 3 14:11 14
7 Delemont 9 4 2 3 13:10 14
8 Solothurn 9 4 1 4 22:18 13
9 Buochs 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
10 Muri-Gumligen 9 4 1 4 11:13 13
11 Thun II 9 3 3 3 17:19 12
12 Wohlen 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
13 Bassecourt 9 3 1 5 9:16 10
14 Black Stars 9 1 6 2 8:10 9
15 Zug 9 2 1 6 11:22 7
16 Munsingen 9 0 2 7 7:24 2
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)