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Zumbi vs Igaci

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Ramos
71'
Diogo Silva
71' Event
Palhinha

AI Match Summary

Igaci in this Alagoano 2 2024 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Zumbi
20%
Draws
0%
Igaci
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zumbi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Zumbi have won more games recently than Igaci.
  • Model gives Zumbi a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Zumbi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zumbi, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57.8%
Zumbi Clean Sheet 19%
Igaci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zumbi Igaci
Matches Played 36 26
Wins 20 8
Draws 8 3
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.39 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2025 Copa Alagoas
Zumbi vs Igaci
3:0
Nov 9, 2024 Alagoano 2
Zumbi vs Igaci
0:1
Nov 2, 2024 Alagoano 2
Igaci vs Zumbi
0:0
Sep 25, 2024 Alagoano 2
Zumbi vs Igaci
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zumbi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Igaci Compare

Top Goalscorer Palhinha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zumbi 85 / 100
Igaci 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zumbi Igaci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zumbi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Igaci has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Zumbi found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (36 games).

Igaci has conceded goals in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Zumbi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zumbi VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zumbi

(Home)
31 May
Sporting FC
2 : 2
Zumbi
24 May
Zumbi
0 : 2
Sporting FC
17 May
Zumbi
1 : 0
Alianca
10 May
Alianca
0 : 0
Zumbi
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1
Zumbi
Page 1 of 8

Igaci

(Away)
12 Mar
Igaci
0 : 3
CRB
01 Mar
SC Penedense
3 : 0
Igaci
19 Feb
Igaci
0 : 3
Coruripe
12 Feb
Zumbi
3 : 0
Igaci
08 Feb
Murici
3 : 0
Igaci
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Zumbi 1
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense 0
Guarany Alagoano 0
Igaci 1
Final
Zumbi 0
Igaci 1