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Zumbi vs Sporting FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Alagoano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Caua

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano 2 game between Zumbi and Sporting FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zumbi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Zumbi
30%
Draws
43%
Sporting FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Zumbi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Sporting FC taking it.
  • Regular Alagoano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Zumbi Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zumbi Sporting FC
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Alagoano 2
Sporting FC vs Zumbi
2:2
May 24, 2026 Alagoano 2
Zumbi vs Sporting FC
0:2
Apr 26, 2026 Alagoano 2
Zumbi vs Sporting FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zumbi Compare

Top Goalscorer Caua
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Sporting FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zumbi 14 / 100
Sporting FC 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zumbi Sporting FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zumbi scored in 74% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Sporting FC conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Zumbi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zumbi VS Sporting FC
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zumbi

(Home)
31 May
Sporting FC
2 : 2
Zumbi
24 May
Zumbi
0 : 2
Sporting FC
17 May
Zumbi
1 : 0
Alianca
10 May
Alianca
0 : 0
Zumbi
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1
Zumbi
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Sporting FC

(Away)
31 May
Sporting FC
2 : 2
Zumbi
24 May
Zumbi
0 : 2
Sporting FC
17 May
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Miguelense
10 May
Miguelense
0 : 3
Sporting FC
02 May
Sporting FC
3 : 0
Sao Domingos AL
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zumbi 5 4 1 0 8:1 13
2 Sporting FC 5 4 0 1 14:3 12
3 Miguelense 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
4 Alianca 5 2 1 2 18:11 7
5 Jacioba 5 0 1 4 0:13 1
6 Sao Domingos AL 5 0 1 4 2:16 1
Promotion - Alagoano 2 (Play Offs)