Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Aquilina G.
53'
53'
Ihuomah B.
61'
61'
Glamour E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zurrieq
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kercem Ajax come out ahead of Zurrieq on wins alone.
- Zurrieq are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Kercem Ajax arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Zurrieq, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Zurrieq Clean Sheet 20%
Kercem Ajax Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zurrieq | Kercem Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 2.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 4, 2026 FA Trophy
Zurrieq vs Kercem Ajax
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zurrieq Compare
Top Goalscorer Aquilina G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ihuomah B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Kercem Ajax Compare
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zurrieq 76 / 100
Kercem Ajax 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zurrieq Kercem Ajax
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zurrieq Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zurrieq scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Kercem Ajax let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Zurrieq went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Zurrieq VS Kercem Ajax
1.5 Goals Scored 0.67
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Zurrieq
(Home) 12 Sept
Sirens
1 : 0 Zurrieq
18 Apr
Zurrieq
4 : 2 Mgarr
12 Apr
Santa Lucia
3 : 0 Zurrieq
01 Apr
Zurrieq
2 : 1 Marsa
15 Mar
Zurrieq
3 : 3 Zebbug
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Zurrieq
4 : 2 Mgarr
01 Apr
Zurrieq
2 : 1 Marsa
15 Mar
Zurrieq
3 : 3 Zebbug
04 Mar
Zurrieq
1 : 2 Naxxar Lions
01 Feb
Zurrieq
1 : 1 Mgarr
Page 1 of 4
Kercem Ajax
(Away) 18 Mar
Birzebbuga
1 : 0 Kercem Ajax
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2 Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Zurrieq
4 : 0 Kercem Ajax
13 Dec
Zejtun
3 : 2 Kercem Ajax
15 Feb
Hibernians
8 : 0 Kercem Ajax
Page 1 of 6
18 Mar
Birzebbuga
1 : 0 Kercem Ajax
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2 Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Zurrieq
4 : 0 Kercem Ajax
13 Dec
Zejtun
3 : 2 Kercem Ajax
15 Feb
Hibernians
8 : 0 Kercem Ajax
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Xaghra 1
Fgura -
TBD -
Sirens 1
Santa Lucia 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Melita 0
Xewkija 1
St. Andrews 3
Vittoriosa 0
TBD -
Gzira -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Zebbug 0
Qala Saints 5
TBD -
Mgarr -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
Qormi 1
Balzan FC 4
Nadur 1
Birzebbuga 4
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
1/16-finals
Tarxien 4
Ghajnsielem 0
Pembroke 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Fgura 2
Santa Lucia 1
Birkirkara 3
Victoria Wanderers 1
Pieta 5
Mtarfa 0
Floriana 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zabbar 1
Xewkija 0
St. Andrews 0
Gzira 2
Hibernians 3
Gudja 1
Qala Saints 0
Mgarr 2
Mosta FC 2
Mqabba FC 1
Zurrieq 4
Kercem Ajax 0
Balzan FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Sliema 1
Swieqi 2
Marsa 0
Naxxar Lions 3
1/8-finals
Tarxien 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 2
Pieta 0
Floriana 0
Zabbar 1
Gzira 3
Hibernians 2
Mgarr 0
Mosta FC 3
Zurrieq 3
Birzebbuga 0
Swieqi 2
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Valletta 3
Hamrun 1
Birkirkara 2
Zabbar 1
Gzira 2
Mosta FC 1
Zurrieq 1
Naxxar Lions 2
Semi-finals
Valletta 3
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Final
Valletta 2
Gzira 1
