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Zurrieq vs Luqa

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2023/2024
Zurrieq Logo

Zurrieq

1 - 0
FT
Luqa Logo

Luqa

Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Darmanin S.
90'
Khatib O.
90'
Khatib O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zurrieq in this Challenge League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zurrieq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Zurrieq
20%
Draws
20%
Luqa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zurrieq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zurrieq lately — more wins on the board than Luqa.
  • Zurrieq are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Zurrieq Clean Sheet 20%
Luqa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zurrieq Luqa
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.59 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2023 Challenge League
Zurrieq vs Luqa
1:0
Nov 13, 2011 FA Trophy
Luqa vs Zurrieq
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zurrieq Compare

Top Goalscorer Darmanin S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Luqa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zurrieq 85 / 100
Luqa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zurrieq Luqa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zurrieq Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zurrieq scored in 86% of their last 37 outings.

Luqa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Luqa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zurrieq VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zurrieq

(Home)
19 Sept
Zurrieq
1 : 2
Victoria Hotspurs
12 Sept
Sirens
1 : 0
Zurrieq
18 Apr
Zurrieq
4 : 2
Mgarr
12 Apr
Santa Lucia
3 : 0
Zurrieq
01 Apr
Zurrieq
2 : 1
Marsa
Page 1 of 8

Luqa

(Away)
05 May
St. Andrews
1 : 0
Luqa
28 Apr
Tarxien
3 : 3
Luqa
21 Apr
Luqa
2 : 2
St. Andrews
14 Apr
Zebbug
4 : 0
Luqa
06 Apr
Luqa
0 : 4
Swieqi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zabbar 15 10 3 2 21:9 33
2 Melita 15 9 4 2 32:21 31
3 Senglea 15 8 5 2 20:9 29
4 Marsa 15 8 4 3 32:17 28
5 Pieta 15 8 3 4 23:13 27
6 Zurrieq 15 8 3 4 18:17 27
7 Fgura 15 8 2 5 32:25 26
8 Lija 15 6 4 5 26:24 22
9 Swieqi 15 5 6 4 18:16 21
10 Tarxien 15 3 8 4 16:14 17
11 Zejtun 15 4 5 6 17:18 17
12 Luqa 15 4 4 7 21:24 16
13 St. Andrews 15 3 2 10 14:28 11
14 Zebbug 15 2 4 9 11:27 10
15 Attard 15 1 5 9 14:33 8
16 Msida 15 2 0 13 9:29 6
Promotion - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)