Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Zurrieq lately — more wins on the board than Mtarfa.
- Model gives Zurrieq a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Zurrieq have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zurrieq | Mtarfa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 3.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zurrieq Compare
Mtarfa Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zurrieq scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Mtarfa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.
Difficult form: Mtarfa registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Zurrieq
(Home)Mtarfa
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Balzan FC | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 37:10 | 35 |
| 2 | Melita | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 36:17 | 32 |
| 3 | Birzebbuga | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 29:15 | 31 |
| 4 | Sirens | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 39:19 | 29 |
| 5 | Swieqi | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 32:23 | 29 |
| 6 | Fgura | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 33:24 | 25 |
| 7 | Pieta | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 8 | St. Andrews | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19:23 | 23 |
| 9 | Mgarr | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28:24 | 22 |
| 10 | Gudja | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 16:13 | 22 |
| 11 | Santa Lucia | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27:25 | 18 |
| 12 | Zurrieq | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 21:27 | 14 |
| 13 | Vittoriosa | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Marsa | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 18:28 | 8 |
| 15 | Zebbug | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9:37 | 8 |
| 16 | Mtarfa | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9:67 | -2 |
