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Zurrieq vs San Gwann

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zurrieq in this Challenge League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zurrieq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Zurrieq
30%
Draws
34%
San Gwann
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zurrieq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • San Gwann haven't matched Zurrieq's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Zurrieq a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Zurrieq Clean Sheet 20%
San Gwann Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zurrieq San Gwann
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 17, 2022 Challenge League
Zurrieq vs San Gwann
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zurrieq 36 / 100
San Gwann 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zurrieq San Gwann

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zurrieq's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

San Gwann has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Zurrieq has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zurrieq VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zurrieq

(Home)
18 Apr
Zurrieq
4 : 2
Mgarr
12 Apr
Santa Lucia
3 : 0
Zurrieq
01 Apr
Zurrieq
2 : 1
Marsa
15 Mar
Zurrieq
3 : 3
Zebbug
07 Mar
Mtarfa
0 : 2
Zurrieq
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San Gwann

(Away)
23 Apr
Swieqi
2 : 0
San Gwann
15 Apr
Mqabba FC
1 : 3
San Gwann
08 Apr
San Gwann
2 : 1
Mtarfa
01 Apr
Marsa
1 : 2
San Gwann
11 Mar
San Gwann
1 : 1
Marsaskala FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sliema17152040:1047
2Naxxar Lions17132240:1541
3Zejtun17110635:2233
4Tarxien1795334:1932
5Zurrieq1792633:2829
6Melita1775529:2226
7Fgura1774641:2525
8Marsa1766527:2324
9Swieqi1766533:3124
10St. Andrews1764723:2722
11Lija1755728:3220
12Attard1754819:3019
13San Gwann1753920:3418
14Marsaskala FC17431028:3915
15Mqabba FC17431021:3615
16Qrendi1735919:3614
17Mtarfa17421111:2814
18Vittoriosa17311314:3810
Promotion - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)