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Zvezda St Peterburg vs Cherepovets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zvezda St Peterburg host Cherepovets in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Zvezda St Peterburg have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Cherepovets's 1.37 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Zvezda St Peterburg have won 2 to Cherepovets's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.19 - 2.00) back Cherepovets to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Zvezda St Peterburg
15%
Draws
85%
Cherepovets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cherepovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cherepovets come out ahead of Zvezda St Peterburg on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cherepovets a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Zvezda St Peterburg Clean Sheet 10%
Cherepovets Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zvezda St Peterburg Cherepovets
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 11 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Zvezda St Peterburg
0:2
Nov 2, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Zvezda St Peterburg
2:2
Aug 20, 2025 Russian Cup
Cherepovets vs Zvezda St Peterburg
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Zvezda St Peterburg vs Cherepovets
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zvezda St Peterburg 10 / 100
Cherepovets 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zvezda St Peterburg Cherepovets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cherepovets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Zvezda St Peterburg scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Cherepovets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Cherepovets's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zvezda St Peterburg VS Cherepovets
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zvezda St Peterburg

(Home)
02 Oct
Zvezda St Peterburg
1 : 8
FK Tver
26 Sept
Iskra Smolensk
3 : 1
Zvezda St Peterburg
18 Sept
Zvezda St Peterburg
0 : 3
FC Murom
14 Sept
Zvezda St Peterburg
0 : 1
Luki-Energiya
29 Aug
Zvezda St Peterburg
2 : 3
Vladimir
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Cherepovets

(Away)
04 Oct
FC Irkutsk
:
Cherepovets
27 Sept
Cherepovets
1 : 2
Dynamo Vologda
20 Sept
Baltika 2
1 : 4
Cherepovets
13 Sept
Cherepovets
3 : 2
Yenisey 2
06 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 0
Cherepovets
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