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Zvezdara vs Jedinstvo Surcin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Zvezdara
20%
Draws
32%
Jedinstvo Surcin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zvezdara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Zvezdara average 1.37 goals a game right now, well clear of Jedinstvo Surcin's 1.1.
  • Model gives Zvezdara a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Zvezdara Clean Sheet 14%
Jedinstvo Surcin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zvezdara Jedinstvo Surcin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.37 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Zvezdara vs Jedinstvo Surcin
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Jedinstvo Surcin vs Zvezdara
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Zvezdara vs Jedinstvo Surcin
0:0
Aug 18, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Jedinstvo Surcin vs Zvezdara
2:2
Apr 17, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Zvezdara vs Jedinstvo Surcin
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zvezdara 35 / 100
Jedinstvo Surcin 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zvezdara Jedinstvo Surcin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zvezdara scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Jedinstvo Surcin conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Jedinstvo Surcin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zvezdara VS Jedinstvo Surcin
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zvezdara

(Home)
03 Oct
Zvezdara
0 : 2
Radnicki Obrenovac
27 Sept
Nika Lepusnica
2 : 0
Zvezdara
19 Sept
Zvezdara
3 : 2
Polet Dorcol
12 Sept
Torlak
5 : 1
Zvezdara
05 Sept
Zvezdara
0 : 1
Bezanija
Page 1 of 6

Jedinstvo Surcin

(Away)
03 Oct
Jedinstvo Surcin
1 : 1
Polet Dorcol
26 Sept
Torlak
0 : 0
Jedinstvo Surcin
19 Sept
Jedinstvo Surcin
1 : 5
Bezanija
12 Sept
Prva Iskra
2 : 1
Jedinstvo Surcin
05 Sept
Jedinstvo Surcin
0 : 2
Brodarac
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teleoptik 26 21 5 0 77:23 68
2 Radnicki Obrenovac 26 17 4 5 70:40 55
3 Torlak 26 14 5 7 59:30 47
4 Brodarac 26 12 6 8 43:29 42
5 Padinska Skela 26 10 7 9 31:32 37
6 Jedinstvo Surcin 26 10 6 10 25:30 36
7 Buducnost Dobanovci 26 9 9 8 35:32 36
8 Nika Lepusnica 26 9 9 8 43:24 36
9 Prva Iskra 26 9 6 11 38:39 33
10 Polet Dorcol 26 9 5 12 36:40 32
11 Zvezdara 26 9 5 12 33:45 32
12 BASK 26 8 6 12 27:31 29
13 Radnicki Beograd 26 4 7 15 25:53 18
14 Kolubara 26 1 0 25 9:103 3
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Main)
Relegation - Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026 (Relegation)