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Zvezdara vs Usce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zvezdara host Usce in the Srpska Liga - Belgrade. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Zvezdara have averaged 1.29 scored and 1.86 conceded recently, against Usce's 1 scored and 1.54 conceded. Past meetings favor Usce slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 16, 2025, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.63) back Zvezdara to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Zvezdara
15%
Draws
59%
Usce
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Usce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Zvezdara carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Usce taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Zvezdara Clean Sheet 14%
Usce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zvezdara Usce
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Zvezdara vs Usce
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Usce vs Zvezdara
0:0
May 12, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Zvezdara vs Usce
0:3
Oct 27, 2023 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Usce vs Zvezdara
2:1
May 7, 2023 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Zvezdara vs Usce
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zvezdara 11 / 100
Usce 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zvezdara Usce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Usce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Usce has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Zvezdara's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Zvezdara stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zvezdara VS Usce
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zvezdara

(Home)
03 Oct
Zvezdara
0 : 2
Radnicki Obrenovac
27 Sept
Nika Lepusnica
2 : 0
Zvezdara
19 Sept
Zvezdara
3 : 2
Polet Dorcol
12 Sept
Torlak
5 : 1
Zvezdara
05 Sept
Zvezdara
0 : 1
Bezanija
Page 1 of 6

Usce

(Away)
09 Oct
Usce
4 : 1
Buducnost Dobanovci
02 Oct
Usce
2 : 0
BASK
27 Sept
Padinska Skela
0 : 0
Usce
18 Sept
Usce
1 : 3
Radnicki Obrenovac
15 Sept
Nika Lepusnica
2 : 1
Usce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buducnost Dobanovci 7 4 3 0 12:1 15
2 Radnicki Obrenovac 7 4 2 1 12:5 14
3 Nika Lepusnica 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
4 Usce 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
5 Bezanija 7 4 0 3 10:7 12
6 Torlak 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
7 BASK 7 3 0 4 10:12 9
8 Brodarac 7 3 0 4 9:11 9
9 Zvezdara 7 3 0 4 9:12 9
10 Polet Dorcol 7 1 4 2 7:8 7
11 Bacevac 7 2 1 4 10:14 7
12 Padinska Skela 7 1 3 3 3:7 6
13 Prva Iskra 7 2 0 5 4:12 6
14 Jedinstvo Surcin 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Srpska Liga - Belgrade (Relegation)