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Zvornik vs Kozara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - RS 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Burnjakovic D.
83' Event
Lakic L.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Liga - RS 2025/2026 game between Zvornik and Kozara finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Zvornik
30%
Draws
33%
Kozara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zvornik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zvornik come out ahead of Kozara on wins alone.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Zvornik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Zvornik Clean Sheet 20%
Kozara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zvornik Kozara
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.93 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Prva Liga - RS
Zvornik vs Kozara
1:0
May 9, 2026 Prva Liga - RS
Zvornik vs Kozara
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Zvornik
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Zvornik vs Kozara
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Zvornik vs Kozara
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zvornik Compare

Top Goalscorer Lakic L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kozara Compare

Top Goalscorer Burnjakovic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zvornik 49 / 100
Kozara 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zvornik Kozara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zvornik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zvornik scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Zvornik went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kozara let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zvornik VS Kozara
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zvornik

(Home)
03 Oct
Zvornik
1 : 0
Kozara
27 Sept
Omarska
1 : 1
Zvornik
23 Sept
Zvornik
1 : 0
Rudar Prijedor
19 Sept
Laktasi
2 : 1
Zvornik
12 Sept
Sutjeska Foca
0 : 0
Zvornik
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Kozara

(Away)
03 Oct
Zvornik
1 : 0
Kozara
26 Sept
Kozara
1 : 0
Sutjeska Foca
23 Sept
Slavija
0 : 0
Kozara
19 Sept
Kozara
1 : 0
Nevesinje
12 Sept
Leotar
3 : 0
Kozara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BSK Banja Luka 29 17 6 6 46:26 57
2 Laktasi 29 16 8 5 52:20 56
3 Leotar 29 13 14 2 41:17 53
4 Zvornik 29 11 7 11 43:27 40
5 Kozara 29 11 7 11 28:34 40
6 Slavija 29 10 9 10 33:29 39
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