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Stadium Background

Zvornik vs Mrkonjic Grad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - RS 2024/2025 Gradski Stadion, Zvornik
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Jokic M.
17'
Janjusevic N.
27'
Janjic S.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Liga - RS 2024/2025 game between Zvornik and Mrkonjic Grad finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zvornik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Zvornik
30%
Draws
33%
Mrkonjic Grad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zvornik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Mrkonjic Grad haven't matched Zvornik's recent run of results.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Zvornik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Zvornik Clean Sheet 68%
Mrkonjic Grad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zvornik Mrkonjic Grad
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.9 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Zvornik vs Mrkonjic Grad
2:1
Sep 18, 2024 Prva Liga - RS
Mrkonjic Grad vs Zvornik
2:1
May 15, 2024 Prva Liga - RS
Zvornik vs Mrkonjic Grad
3:0
Nov 4, 2023 Prva Liga - RS
Mrkonjic Grad vs Zvornik
6:0
Apr 23, 2023 Prva Liga - RS
Mrkonjic Grad vs Zvornik
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zvornik Compare

Top Goalscorer Milanovic O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Mrkonjic Grad Compare

Top Goalscorer Ristovic K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zvornik 50 / 100
Mrkonjic Grad 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zvornik Mrkonjic Grad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zvornik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zvornik found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Mrkonjic Grad let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Zvornik went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zvornik VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zvornik

(Home)
03 Oct
Zvornik
1 : 0
Kozara
27 Sept
Omarska
1 : 1
Zvornik
23 Sept
Zvornik
1 : 0
Rudar Prijedor
19 Sept
Laktasi
2 : 1
Zvornik
12 Sept
Sutjeska Foca
0 : 0
Zvornik
Page 1 of 6

Mrkonjic Grad

(Away)
31 May
Kozara
3 : 1
Mrkonjic Grad
24 May
Mrkonjic Grad
3 : 0
Sloboda Novi Grad
17 May
Romanija Pale
2 : 2
Mrkonjic Grad
14 May
Mrkonjic Grad
2 : 1
Zeljeznicar Banja Luka
10 May
Slavija
3 : 1
Mrkonjic Grad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laktasi 34 26 3 5 90:24 81
2 BSK Banja Luka 34 22 5 7 67:39 71
3 Rudar Prijedor 34 20 6 8 50:21 66
4 Zvijezda 09 34 18 6 10 46:34 60
5 Sloboda Novi Grad 34 15 7 12 43:38 49
6 Slavija 34 13 8 13 53:42 47
7 Famos Vojkovici 34 13 7 14 40:35 46
8 Sutjeska Foca 34 14 4 16 42:55 46
9 Leotar 34 12 9 13 42:29 45
10 Romanija Pale 34 11 11 12 36:32 44
11 Zvornik 34 13 5 16 38:42 44
12 Kozara 34 11 9 14 38:47 42
13 Nevesinje 34 12 6 16 38:58 42
14 Drina Visegrad 34 13 3 18 37:59 42
15 Zeljeznicar Banja Luka 34 12 5 17 46:52 41
16 Ljubic Prnjavor 34 11 7 16 39:62 40
17 Mrkonjic Grad 34 9 7 18 44:61 34
18 Kozarska Dubica 34 5 4 25 29:88 16
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