Sport Picks
Zwickau vs Chemie Leipzig
Germany
Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 GGZ-Arena Zwickau, Zwickau 
Match Events
53'
53'
Zimmermann M.
AI Match Summary
The Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 game between Zwickau and Chemie Leipzig finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zwickau.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chemie Leipzig
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Zwickau carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Zwickau Clean Sheet 20%
Chemie Leipzig Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zwickau | Chemie Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.37 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Zwickau
2:2
May 16, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Chemie Leipzig
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Zwickau
1:2
May 11, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Chemie Leipzig
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Zwickau
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zwickau Compare
Top Goalscorer Zimmermann M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Chemie Leipzig Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zwickau 32 / 100
Chemie Leipzig 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zwickau Chemie Leipzig
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zwickau scored in 90% of their last 30 games.
Chemie Leipzig has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Zwickau has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Zwickau VS Chemie Leipzig
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Zwickau
(Home) 27 Sept
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 1 Zwickau
18 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 3 Hallescher
15 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 2 Altglienicke
12 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
2 : 2 Zwickau
29 Aug
Zwickau
1 : 0 Babelsberg
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 3 Hallescher
15 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 2 Altglienicke
29 Aug
Zwickau
1 : 0 Babelsberg
14 Aug
Zwickau
2 : 1 Luckenwalde
01 Aug
Zwickau
0 : 3 Greifswalder FC
Page 1 of 3
Chemie Leipzig
(Away) 27 Sept
Aue
1 : 2 Chemie Leipzig
20 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3 Chemnitzer
16 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 5 Chemie Leipzig
12 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
2 : 2 Zwickau
28 Aug
Altglienicke
1 : 1 Chemie Leipzig
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Aue
1 : 2 Chemie Leipzig
16 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 5 Chemie Leipzig
28 Aug
Altglienicke
1 : 1 Chemie Leipzig
25 Aug
Magdeburg II
1 : 0 Chemie Leipzig
08 Aug
Rsv Eintracht
1 : 1 Chemie Leipzig
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 65:30 | 72 |
| 2 | Jena | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 65:35 | 72 |
| 3 | Zwickau | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 52:44 | 64 |
| 4 | Hallescher | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 63:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Erfurt | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 68:47 | 61 |
| 6 | Altglienicke | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50:40 | 53 |
| 7 | Chemnitzer | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 56:52 | 51 |
| 8 | BFC Preussen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 50:55 | 50 |
| 9 | Magdeburg II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 61:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Luckenwalde | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36:45 | 43 |
| 11 | Babelsberg | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 67:65 | 41 |
| 12 | BFC Dynamo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45:50 | 40 |
| 13 | Chemie Leipzig | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 43:49 | 40 |
| 14 | Hertha Berlin II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 46:60 | 40 |
| 15 | Greifswalder FC | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:45 | 38 |
| 16 | Meuselwitz | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 44:61 | 33 |
| 17 | Eilenburg | 34 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 35:68 | 23 |
| 18 | Hertha Zehlendorf | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 30:79 | 14 |
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
