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Zwolle vs AEK

World World

Club Friendly
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zwolle host AEK in the Club Friendly. This one's hard to separate. Zwolle have averaged 1.13 scored and 2 conceded recently, against AEK's 1.38 scored and 0.88 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.00 - 1.69) back AEK to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Zwolle
39%
Draws
30%
AEK
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AEK lately — more wins on the board than Zwolle.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Zwolle Clean Sheet 13%
AEK Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zwolle AEK
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 16
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zwolle 31 / 100
AEK 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zwolle AEK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zwolle found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: AEK conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Zwolle went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zwolle VS AEK
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zwolle

(Home)
18 Jul
Zwolle
3 : 2
Cercle Brugge
11 Jul
Zwolle
0 : 1
Al Jazira
17 May
Zwolle
0 : 2
Feyenoord
10 May
Sittard
3 : 2
Zwolle
03 May
Zwolle
1 : 0
Heracles
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AEK

(Away)
18 Jul
Groningen
1 : 2
AEK
15 Jul
Vitesse
0 : 0
AEK
12 Jul
De Graafschap
1 : 2
AEK
17 May
AEK
1 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
13 May
PAOK
1 : 1
AEK
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