Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zwolle vs AEK

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Koita A.
33'
Sub
Floranus S. In: Fichtinger N.
Out: Floranus S.
33'
Sub
Thomas R. In: van der Haar D.
Out: Thomas R.

AI Match Summary

AEK in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored AEK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Zwolle
20%
Draws
61%
AEK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AEK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AEK lately — more wins on the board than Zwolle.
  • Model gives AEK a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Zwolle Clean Sheet 10%
AEK Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zwolle AEK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 17
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.24 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.1 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.68 2.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Zwolle vs AEK
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zwolle Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Haar D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reiziger G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

AEK Compare

Top Goalscorer Varga B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Koita A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.24
Avg xA / game 1.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zwolle 10 / 100
AEK 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zwolle AEK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Zwolle found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

AEK let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Zwolle has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zwolle VS AEK
0.86 Goals Scored 2.5
2.43 Goals Conceded 0.5
86% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zwolle

(Home)
13 Sept
Zwolle
0 : 7
Feyenoord
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Zwolle
29 Aug
Zwolle
1 : 3
Nijmegen
22 Aug
Heerenveen
0 : 2
Zwolle
16 Aug
Twente
3 : 1
Zwolle
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AEK

(Away)
17 Sept
AEK
8 : 1
Panserraikos
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
AEK
08 Sept
AEK
1 : 0
LASK Linz
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0
Aris
02 Sept
Chrisoupolis
0 : 2
AEK
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