Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Garcia MacNulty A.
Assist: Thomas R.
21'
21'
Thomas R.
31'
31'
Van Hoorenbeeck A.
AI Match Summary
The Eredivisie 2025/2026 game between Zwolle and Heracles finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zwolle.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
15%
67%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heracles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ High Confidence
- Zwolle haven't matched Heracles's recent run of results.
- Heracles are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Eredivisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Zwolle Clean Sheet 10%
Heracles Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zwolle | Heracles |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Heracles
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Zwolle
8:2
Mar 2, 2025 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Zwolle
4:2
Sep 1, 2024 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Heracles
3:0
Apr 28, 2024 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Heracles
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zwolle Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia MacNulty A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Heracles Compare
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zwolle 10 / 100
Heracles 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zwolle Heracles
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Heracles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Heracles has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 4.80 goals.
Zwolle found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Solid form: Zwolle remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Zwolle VS Heracles
1.38 Goals Scored 3.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Zwolle
(Home) 04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 Zwolle
29 Aug
Zwolle
1 : 3 Nijmegen
22 Aug
Heerenveen
0 : 2 Zwolle
16 Aug
Twente
3 : 1 Zwolle
09 Aug
Zwolle
0 : 2 Ajax
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29 Aug
Zwolle
1 : 3 Nijmegen
09 Aug
Zwolle
0 : 2 Ajax
26 Jul
Zwolle
2 : 3 AEK
18 Jul
Zwolle
3 : 2 Cercle Brugge
11 Jul
Zwolle
0 : 1 Al Jazira
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Heracles
(Away) 11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2 Jong AZ Alkmaar
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0 De Graafschap
30 Aug
Eindhoven FC
1 : 3 Heracles
24 Aug
Jong Utrecht
1 : 6 Heracles
14 Aug
Heracles
3 : 2 Den Bosch
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30 Aug
Eindhoven FC
1 : 3 Heracles
24 Aug
Jong Utrecht
1 : 6 Heracles
07 Aug
Venlo
3 : 4 Heracles
10 May
Telstar
3 : 0 Heracles
03 May
Zwolle
1 : 0 Heracles
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 84 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 65 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 59 |
| 4 | Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 5 | Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 56 |
| 6 | Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 53 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 52 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 51 |
| 9 | Groningen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 48 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | 43 |
| 11 | Sittard | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | 39 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | 38 |
| 14 | Telstar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | 37 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | 37 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | 32 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | 29 |
| 18 | Heracles | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | 19 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)
