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Zwolle vs Rayo Vallecano

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Trejo O.
23' Event
Nteka R.
24'
Sub
Camello S. In: de Frutos J.
Out: Camello S.

AI Match Summary

Rayo Vallecano in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rayo Vallecano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Zwolle
20%
Draws
51%
Rayo Vallecano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rayo Vallecano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Zwolle haven't matched Rayo Vallecano's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Rayo Vallecano's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Zwolle Clean Sheet 10%
Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zwolle Rayo Vallecano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Zwolle vs Rayo Vallecano
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zwolle Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Rayo Vallecano Compare

Top Goalscorer Trejo O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nteka R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zwolle 14 / 100
Rayo Vallecano 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zwolle Rayo Vallecano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rayo Vallecano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Zwolle scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Rayo Vallecano conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Zwolle went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zwolle VS Rayo Vallecano
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zwolle

(Home)
18 Sept
Groningen
3 : 0
Zwolle
13 Sept
Zwolle
0 : 7
Feyenoord
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Zwolle
29 Aug
Zwolle
1 : 3
Nijmegen
22 Aug
Heerenveen
0 : 2
Zwolle
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Rayo Vallecano

(Away)
19 Sept
Osasuna
1 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
15 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1
Espanyol
12 Sept
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2
Racing Santander
31 Aug
Barcelona
5 : 2
Rayo Vallecano
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