Sport Picks
1º de Maio de Quelimane vs Estrela Vermelha Maputo
Mozambique
Mocambola 2016 
AI Match Summary
1º de Maio de Quelimane play Estrela Vermelha Maputo in the Mocambola 2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, 1º de Maio de Quelimane averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.12 conceded. Estrela Vermelha Maputo averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, 1º de Maio de Quelimane won 2, Estrela Vermelha Maputo won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 23, 2016 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for 1º de Maio de Quelimane and 1.13 for Estrela Vermelha Maputo. This points to a 1º de Maio de Quelimane double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- 1º de Maio de Quelimane picked up more points recently compared to Estrela Vermelha Maputo.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.13 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | 1º de Maio de Quelimane | Estrela Vermelha Maputo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.12 | 1.19 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
1º de Maio de Quelimane scored in 62% of their last 34 games.
Estrela Vermelha Maputo let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
1º de Maio de Quelimane went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Estrela Vermelha Maputo lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferroviario Beira | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 40:21 | 61 |
| 2 | UD Songo | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 32:14 | 55 |
| 3 | Chibuto | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 35:19 | 50 |
| 4 | Liga Desportivo Maputo | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 37:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Nampula | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 37:21 | 50 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Maputo | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 27:18 | 49 |
| 7 | Maxaquene | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 28:26 | 43 |
| 8 | Ferroviario Nacala | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 22:24 | 42 |
| 9 | Desportivo de Nacala | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:34 | 40 |
| 10 | Costa do Sol | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34:33 | 38 |
| 11 | ENH Vilankulo | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 22:28 | 37 |
| 12 | Chingale de Tete | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 19:41 | 33 |
| 13 | 1º de Maio de Quelimane | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 30:36 | 32 |
| 14 | Estrela Vermelha Maputo | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 28:36 | 30 |
| 15 | Desportivo Maputo | 30 | 2 | 13 | 15 | 15:34 | 19 |
| 16 | Desportivo de Niassa | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 11:50 | 16 |