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1. FC Duren vs FC Hurth

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Geimer V.
29' Event
Schlosser Y.
56' Event
Popovic J.

AI Match Summary

1. FC Duren in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored 1. FC Duren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
1. FC Duren
17%
Draws
13%
FC Hurth
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: 1. FC Duren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • 1. FC Duren have won more games recently than FC Hurth.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on 1. FC Duren taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
1. FC Duren Clean Sheet 16%
FC Hurth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1. FC Duren FC Hurth
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 12
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 2 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2024 Club Friendly
1. FC Duren vs FC Hurth
4:0
May 8, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
FC Hurth vs 1. FC Duren
1:1
Oct 24, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein
1. FC Duren vs FC Hurth
5:2
May 30, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein
1. FC Duren vs FC Hurth
0:0
Feb 7, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein
FC Hurth vs 1. FC Duren
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

1. FC Duren Compare

Top Goalscorer Geimer V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schlosser Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Hurth Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1. FC Duren 66 / 100
FC Hurth 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1. FC Duren FC Hurth

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1. FC Duren's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: FC Hurth conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: 1. FC Duren stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

1. FC Duren VS FC Hurth
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%