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Stadium Background

1. FC Koln vs Hoffenheim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Daghim A.
Assist: Conte B.
51' Event
El Mala S.
53'
Sub
Bernardo In: Hranac R.
Out: Bernardo

AI Match Summary

1. FC Koln in this Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored 1. FC Koln.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
1. FC Koln
20%
Draws
42%
Hoffenheim
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hoffenheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hoffenheim lately — more wins on the board than 1. FC Koln.
  • 1. FC Koln are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40.400000000000006%
1. FC Koln Clean Sheet 68%
Hoffenheim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1. FC Koln Hoffenheim
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.76 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Hoffenheim
3:2
Feb 21, 2026 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Hoffenheim
2:2
Oct 3, 2025 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Koln
0:1
Feb 11, 2024 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Koln
1:1
Sep 16, 2023 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Hoffenheim
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

1. FC Koln Compare

Top Goalscorer Dallinga T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader El Mala S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Hoffenheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Daghim A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kabak O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1. FC Koln 50 / 100
Hoffenheim 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1. FC Koln Hoffenheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1. FC Koln Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1. FC Koln's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Hoffenheim has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: 1. FC Koln stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

1. FC Koln VS Hoffenheim
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

1. FC Koln

(Home)
01 Nov
Union Berlin
1 : 1
1. FC Koln
27 Oct
1. FC Koln
5 : 0
Union Berlin
24 Oct
1. FC Koln
0 : 0
Schalke
16 Oct
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 0
1. FC Koln
11 Oct
1. FC Koln
2 : 1
B. Monchengladbach
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Hoffenheim

(Away)
31 Oct
Werder Bremen
2 : 0
Hoffenheim
28 Oct
Holstein Kiel
2 : 1
Hoffenheim
25 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0
Bayer Leverkusen
22 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0
Lyon
18 Oct
B. Monchengladbach
1 : 2
Hoffenheim
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 8 5 3 0 27:8 18
2 Dortmund 8 5 3 0 14:6 18
3 Freiburg 8 5 1 2 18:10 16
4 RB Leipzig 8 5 0 3 22:11 15
5 Werder Bremen 8 4 3 1 17:14 15
6 Bayer Leverkusen 8 4 1 3 18:16 13
7 Elversberg 8 4 1 3 16:16 13
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
9 Mainz 8 3 1 4 17:17 10
10 Augsburg 8 2 3 3 18:15 9
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 3 0 5 14:15 9
12 Hoffenheim 8 3 0 5 14:16 9
13 1. FC Koln 8 2 3 3 9:12 9
14 Paderborn 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
15 Hamburger 8 3 0 5 7:19 9
16 Union Berlin 8 1 4 3 7:19 7
17 Schalke 8 1 3 4 4:9 6
18 B. Monchengladbach 8 1 1 6 11:22 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)