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Cancun vs Piratas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo, Cancún
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Piratas have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Cancun have conceded 1.34 and scored 1.59. Past meetings favor Cancun slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.94) point toward Cancun. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Cancun
30%
Draws
33%
Piratas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cancun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cancun lately — more wins on the board than Piratas.
  • Win probability leans Cancun's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Cancun have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Cancun Clean Sheet 10%
Piratas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cancun Piratas
Matches Played 29 15
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.59 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.34 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Piratas vs Cancun
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cancun 40 / 100
Piratas 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cancun Piratas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cancun scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Cancun has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Piratas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 15 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cancun VS Piratas
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cancun

(Home)
01 Nov
Cancun
2 : 0
Jaiba Brava
24 Oct
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 4
Cancun
18 Oct
Cancun
1 : 1
Venados FC
11 Oct
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 2
Cancun
04 Oct
Cancun
1 : 0
Tapatio
Page 1 of 6

Piratas

(Away)
01 Nov
Piratas
1 : 1
Tapatio
25 Oct
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 5
Piratas
18 Oct
Piratas
3 : 0
Tepatitlan de Morelos
10 Oct
Tlaxcala
4 : 2
Piratas
04 Oct
Piratas
4 : 0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Atletico La Paz -
Tlaxcala -
Piratas -
Cancun -
Leones Negros -
Alacranes de Durango -
Club Atletico Morelia -
Venados FC -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -