Sport Picks

Stadium Background

1. FC Koln vs Leicester

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Merkur-Arena, Graz
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sebulonsen S.
Assist: Kaminski J.
17' Event
Waldschmidt L.
Assist: Johannesson I.
43' Event
McAteer K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between 1. FC Koln and Leicester finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 1. FC Koln.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
1. FC Koln
6%
Draws
90%
Leicester
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Leicester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Leicester carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Leicester are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
1. FC Koln Clean Sheet 14%
Leicester Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1. FC Koln Leicester
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2025 Club Friendly
1. FC Koln vs Leicester
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

1. FC Koln Compare

Top Goalscorer Sebulonsen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Waldschmidt L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Leicester Compare

Top Goalscorer McAteer K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1. FC Koln 10 / 100
Leicester 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1. FC Koln Leicester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1. FC Koln found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Leicester let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

1. FC Koln went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

1. FC Koln VS Leicester
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

1. FC Koln

(Home)
16 May
Bayern Munich
5 : 1
1. FC Koln
10 May
1. FC Koln
1 : 3
Heidenheim
02 May
Union Berlin
2 : 2
1. FC Koln
25 Apr
1. FC Koln
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
17 Apr
St. Pauli
1 : 1
1. FC Koln
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Leicester

(Away)
22 Jul
Cadiz
0 : 1
Leicester
18 Jul
Burton
0 : 3
Leicester
14 Jul
Bristol Rovers
1 : 2
Leicester
11 Jul
Leicester
3 : 0
Northampton
02 May
Blackburn
0 : 1
Leicester
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