Sport Picks

Stadium Background

1. FC Sand vs Erlangen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Erlangen in this Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erlangen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
1. FC Sand
20%
Draws
38%
Erlangen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: 1. FC Sand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Erlangen have won more games recently than 1. FC Sand.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on 1. FC Sand taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Erlangen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
1. FC Sand Clean Sheet 12%
Erlangen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1. FC Sand Erlangen
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 4 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 24 17
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Nord
1. FC Sand vs Erlangen
0:1
Aug 1, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlangen vs 1. FC Sand
6:0
May 18, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Nord
1. FC Sand vs Erlangen
0:1
Oct 14, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlangen vs 1. FC Sand
2:1
May 30, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Erlangen vs 1. FC Sand
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1. FC Sand 40 / 100
Erlangen 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1. FC Sand Erlangen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erlangen has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Erlangen has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: 1. FC Sand scored in 42% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

1. FC Sand VS Erlangen
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.6
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 60%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1TSV Aubstadt34244683:2776
2Gebenbach34227583:4273
3Wurzburger FV34206867:3966
4Grossbardorf34205967:3965
5SV Seligenporten34188869:5062
6Eltersdorf341581156:4553
7Bayern Hof341471354:4549
8DJK Don Bosco Bamberg341461444:3948
9Wurzburger Kickers II341461460:6948
10Abtswind341361559:6745
11Ansbach3411101368:7743
12DJK Ammerthal341161751:5239
13ATSV Erlangen341161743:6039
141. FC Sand341051942:6635
15Vach341032145:7633
16Erlangen34942153:7431
17Jahn Forchheim34862058:8630
18ASV Neumarkt34772035:8428