Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
22 de Julio host EL Nacional in the Serie B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: 22 de Julio at 0.38 goals for, 1.38 against; EL Nacional at 0.38 for, 2.13 against. Past meetings favor EL Nacional slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.88, favoring 22 de Julio. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- EL Nacional haven't matched 22 de Julio's recent run of results.
- 22 de Julio are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | 22 de Julio | EL Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: EL Nacional conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Away concern: EL Nacional has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
22 de Julio scored in 45% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
22 de Julio
(Home)EL Nacional
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nueve de Octubre | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 20:11 | 34 |
| 2 | Independiente Juniors | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 20:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Atletico FC | 18 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 21:13 | 31 |
| 4 | CD Cuenca Juniors | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 19:18 | 30 |
| 5 | Vinotinto | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:16 | 26 |
| 6 | Cumbaya | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 23 |
| 7 | LDU Portoviejo | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 15:21 | 22 |
| 8 | San Antonio | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 20:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Gualaceo | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 10 | Dep. Santo Domingo | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 13:13 | 19 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 9:23 | 9 |
| 12 | EL Nacional | 18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10:29 | 2 |
