Sport Picks

Stadium Background

9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Las Parejas

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal El Coloso, Rafaela
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Schonfeld G.
27'
Gonzalez I.
34'
Solari M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
9 de Julio Rafaela
39%
Draws
30%
Sportivo Las Parejas
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • 9 de Julio Rafaela have won more games recently than Sportivo Las Parejas.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
9 de Julio Rafaela Clean Sheet 16%
Sportivo Las Parejas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 9 de Julio Rafaela Sportivo Las Parejas
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 2 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Las Parejas
2:2
Apr 5, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Las Parejas vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1:1
May 24, 2025 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Las Parejas
4:4
Mar 27, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Las Parejas vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
3:0
Sep 1, 2024 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Las Parejas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

9 de Julio Rafaela Compare

Top Goalscorer Troncoso L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sportivo Las Parejas Compare

Top Goalscorer Schonfeld G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fissore M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

9 de Julio Rafaela 31 / 100
Sportivo Las Parejas 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
9 de Julio Rafaela Sportivo Las Parejas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: 9 de Julio Rafaela scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Sportivo Las Parejas conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: 9 de Julio Rafaela remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

9 de Julio Rafaela VS Sportivo Las Parejas
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

9 de Julio Rafaela

(Home)
26 Jul
Douglas Haig
2 : 1
9 de Julio Rafaela
13 Jul
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 2
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
05 Jul
Gimnasia E.R.
3 : 0
9 de Julio Rafaela
28 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
2 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
22 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
3 : 2
El Linqueno
Page 1 of 6

Sportivo Las Parejas

(Away)
26 Jul
Independiente Chivilcoy
1 : 1
Sportivo Las Parejas
12 Jul
Sportivo Las Parejas
0 : 0
Sportivo Belgrano
05 Jul
Douglas Haig
0 : 0
Sportivo Las Parejas
27 Jun
Sportivo Las Parejas
1 : 1
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
21 Jun
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 1
Sportivo Las Parejas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Douglas Haig1894522:1531
2Sportivo Belgrano1879221:930
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1876517:1227
4Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1876524:2027
59 de Julio Rafaela1874728:2725
6Sportivo Las Parejas1859412:1324
7Atletico Escobar1864821:2922
8Independiente Chivilcoy1847715:2219
9El Linqueno1854914:2119
10Gimnasia E.R.1845912:1817
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Martin Formosa1693425:1930
2Bartolome Mitre1675413:726
3Sol de America1682619:1426
4Sarmiento de La Banda1674517:1525
5Juventud Antoniana1674519:1125
6Defensores de Vilelas1661921:2619
7Boca Unidos1653819:2518
8Tucuman Central1652914:1917
9Sarmiento Resistencia1636712:2315
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cipolletti1674519:1525
2Argentino MM1658316:1223
3Biblioteca Atenas1665512:1323
4Huracan Las Heras1665511:1323
5Fundacion Amigos1649317:1421
6Deportivo Rincon1654713:1619
7San Martin Mendoza1647511:1519
8Costa Brava1646612:1318
9Juventud U.U.1638510:1017
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1687113:431
2Alvarado1676319:727
3Kimberley1668215:926
4Villa Mitre1658314:823
5Germinal164667:1418
6Sol de Mayo1646615:1818
7Guillermo Brown1645713:2017
8Santamarina162779:1713
9Circulo Deportivo162778:1613
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)