Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Esmoriz in this Taça de Portugal 2007/2008 tie, finishing 0-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esmoriz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Esmoriz lately — more wins on the board than AA Avanca.
- Model gives Esmoriz a 51% chance of winning this.
- Esmoriz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Esmoriz, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
AA Avanca Clean Sheet 12%
Esmoriz Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AA Avanca | Esmoriz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 10 | 32 |
| Wins | 2 | 11 |
| Draws | 1 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.2 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2007 Taça de Portugal
AA Avanca vs Esmoriz
0:6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AA Avanca 11 / 100
Esmoriz 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AA Avanca Esmoriz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Esmoriz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Esmoriz conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.
These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Esmoriz registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: AA Avanca scored in 40% of their last 10 outings.
Scoring Trends
AA Avanca VS Esmoriz
1 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
83% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
AA Avanca
(Home) 05 Sept
AA Avanca
2 : 2 Feirense U23
22 Sept
Chaves
8 : 0 AA Avanca
01 Sept
GD Braganca
0 : 1 AA Avanca
15 Sept
AA Avanca
0 : 3 SC Espinho
11 Sept
Vizela
2 : 0 AA Avanca
Page 1 of 2
05 Sept
AA Avanca
2 : 2 Feirense U23
15 Sept
AA Avanca
0 : 3 SC Espinho
04 Sept
AA Avanca
0 : 5 Messinense
23 Sept
AA Avanca
0 : 6 Esmoriz
Esmoriz
(Away) 24 Sept
Esmoriz
0 : 1 Vilaverdense FC
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2 Esmoriz
30 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 0 Esmoriz
23 Apr
Esmoriz
0 : 1 Boavista
17 Apr
Anadia
0 : 1 Esmoriz
Page 1 of 7
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2 Esmoriz
30 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 0 Esmoriz
17 Apr
Anadia
0 : 1 Esmoriz
03 Apr
Tondela
3 : 0 Esmoriz
20 Mar
SC Espinho
2 : 0 Esmoriz
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Porto 2
Chaves 0
Real SC 0
Aves 1
Penafiel 2
Vizela 1
Portimonense 1
Sertanense 2
Leixoes 4
Torreense 0
Freamunde 0
Anadia 1
Juv. Evora 2
Infesta 1
Messinense 0
Gil Vicente 2
Naval 3
Serzedelo 0
TBD -
Boavista -
Olhanense 2
Carregado 1
Rebordosa 1
Rio Ave 6
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Atletico CP 0
Cova De Piedade 0
Nacional 5
Leiria 2
Nelas 0
Operario 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Benfica 3
Academica 1
SC Lusitania 1
Feirense 4
Abrantes 1
Monsanto 0
BSAD 2
Pacos Ferreira 3
Valdevez 1
CU Micaelense 0
Social Lamas 1
Tocha 2
Beira Mar 1
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Machico 0
Moreirense 4
Estrela da Amadora -
TBD -
UD Rio Maior 1
Fatima 2
Camacha 1
Sanjoanense 0
TBD -
Braga -
Maritimo -
TBD -
Mondinense 0
Oliveirense 4
Lagoa 3
Santa Clara 2
Louletano 0
Sporting CP 4
1/16-finals
FC Porto 2
Aves 0
Penafiel 1
Sertanense 2
Leixoes 1
Anadia 0
Juv. Evora 0
Gil Vicente 3
Naval 4
Boavista 1
Olhanense 3
Rio Ave 4
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Nacional 0
Leiria 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Benfica 1
Feirense 0
Abrantes 0
Pacos Ferreira 4
Valdevez 3
Tocha 1
Beira Mar 0
Moreirense 1
Estrela da Amadora 4
Fatima 2
Camacha 2
Braga 3
Maritimo 1
Oliveirense 0
Lagoa 0
Sporting CP 4
1/8-finals
FC Porto 4
Sertanense 0
Leixoes 0
Gil Vicente 1
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Benfica 4
Pacos Ferreira 1
Valdevez 0
Moreirense 3
Estrela da Amadora 1
Braga 0
Maritimo 1
Sporting CP 2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 1
Gil Vicente 0
Naval 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Benfica 2
Moreirense 0
Estrela da Amadora 0
Sporting CP 1
Semi-finals
FC Porto 3
Vitoria Setubal 0
Benfica 3
Sporting CP 5
Final
FC Porto 0
Sporting CP 2
