Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2018

AA Itarare

0 - 1

Jabaquara

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2018 game between AA Itarare and Jabaquara finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jabaquara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

AA Itarare

30%

Draws

47%

Jabaquara

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jabaquara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Jabaquara haven't matched AA Itarare's recent run of results.
Jabaquara are the model's pick here, at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 3 times recently and AA Itarare have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

AA Itarare Clean Sheet 20%

Jabaquara Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AA Itarare	Jabaquara
Matches Played	34	35
Wins	15	10
Draws	11	8
Losses	8	17
Goals Scored	1.5	0.86
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.23	0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2020 Paulista A4

Jabaquara vs AA Itarare

0:1

Nov 22, 2020 Paulista A4

AA Itarare vs Jabaquara

1:0

Jul 8, 2018 Paulista A4

AA Itarare vs Jabaquara

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AA Itarare 12 / 100

Jabaquara 74 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AA Itarare Jabaquara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jabaquara Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AA Itarare's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Jabaquara let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

AA Itarare has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jabaquara

0 Goals Scored 0.75

0 Goals Conceded 1.25

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AA Itarare

(Home)

20 Aug

Gremio Prudente

2 : 1

AA Itarare

14 Aug

AA Itarare

0 : 3

Gremio Prudente

06 Aug

SKA Brasil

1 : 2

AA Itarare

31 Jul

AA Itarare

0 : 1

Itapirense

24 Jul

AA Itarare

3 : 3

Catanduva FC

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Jabaquara

(Away)

04 Apr

AEA Aracatuba

0 : 3

Jabaquara

28 Mar

Jabaquara

2 : 1

Comercial

25 Mar

Lemense

0 : 0

Jabaquara

21 Mar

Jabaquara

1 : 1

Taquaritinga

18 Mar

Penapolense

3 : 2

Jabaquara

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