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AA Itarare vs Primavera EC

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Paulista A4 2018
AA Itarare Logo

AA Itarare

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Primavera EC Logo

Primavera EC

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2018 game between AA Itarare and Primavera EC finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Primavera EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
AA Itarare
20%
Draws
57%
Primavera EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Primavera EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Primavera EC come out ahead of AA Itarare on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Primavera EC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AA Itarare Clean Sheet 19%
Primavera EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AA Itarare Primavera EC
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 15 18
Draws 11 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2018 Paulista A4
AA Itarare vs Primavera EC
1:3
Sep 1, 2018 Paulista A4
Primavera EC vs AA Itarare
1:0
Aug 18, 2018 Paulista A4
Primavera EC vs AA Itarare
0:0
Jul 14, 2018 Paulista A4
AA Itarare vs Primavera EC
0:0
May 26, 2018 Paulista A4
Primavera EC vs AA Itarare
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AA Itarare 10 / 100
Primavera EC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AA Itarare Primavera EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primavera EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AA Itarare found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (34 games).

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Primavera EC conceded in 59% of 34 recent games.

AA Itarare went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Primavera EC
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AA Itarare

(Home)
20 Aug
Gremio Prudente
2 : 1
AA Itarare
14 Aug
AA Itarare
0 : 3
Gremio Prudente
06 Aug
SKA Brasil
1 : 2
AA Itarare
31 Jul
AA Itarare
0 : 1
Itapirense
24 Jul
AA Itarare
3 : 3
Catanduva FC
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Primavera EC

(Away)
05 Sept
Primavera EC
7 : 0
Sao Caetano
29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5
Primavera EC
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2
Paulista
16 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 2
Primavera EC
08 Aug
Primavera EC
2 : 2
Juventus-SP
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
2 Primavera EC 6 3 2 1 8:7 11
3 Paulista 6 3 0 3 8:6 9
4 AA Itarare 6 1 0 5 3:9 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
2 Francana 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Comercial 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
4 Flamengo SP 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Play Offs)