Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Riisvangen, Aarhus
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aarhus Fremad host Aalborg in the 1st Division. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Aarhus Fremad at 1.75 goals for, 0.75 against; Aalborg at 1.25 for, 1.75 against. Head-to-head, Aarhus Fremad have won 3 to Aalborg's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 22, 2026, ending 5:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.00) point toward Aarhus Fremad. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Aarhus Fremad
39%
Draws
31%
Aalborg
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aarhus Fremad lately — more wins on the board than Aalborg.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 1st Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aarhus Fremad Clean Sheet 20%
Aalborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarhus Fremad Aalborg
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg
5:0
Apr 18, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad
3:1
Mar 6, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad
0:1
Aug 29, 2025 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg
5:1
May 15, 1999 Superliga
Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarhus Fremad 31 / 100
Aalborg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarhus Fremad Aalborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalborg has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Aarhus Fremad's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aarhus Fremad went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aarhus Fremad VS Aalborg
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarhus Fremad

(Home)
26 Jul
Hobro
1 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
17 Jul
Viborg
1 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
16 Jul
Aarhus Fremad
2 : 0
Brabrand
08 Jul
Aarhus Fremad
1 : 0
Silkeborg
04 Jul
Esbjerg
2 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
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Aalborg

(Away)
24 Jul
Aalborg
1 : 0
Hillerod
17 Jul
Aalborg
1 : 2
Silkeborg
08 Jul
Aalborg
2 : 2
Randers FC
03 Jul
Aalborg
3 : 1
Viborg
30 May
Aalborg
1 : 0
Koge
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fredericia11003:03
2Aarhus Fremad11002:13
3Aalborg11001:03
4Hvidovre IF10102:21
5AB Copenhagen10102:21
6Vejle10102:21
7Vendsyssel FF10102:21
8Kolding IF10101:11
9Esbjerg10101:11
10Hobro10011:20
11Hillerod10010:10
12Koge10010:30
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)