Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aarhus vs Sonderjyske

Denmark Denmark

Superliga 2025/2026 New Vejlby Stadium, Aarhus
Aarhus Logo

Aarhus

2 - 1
FT
Sonderjyske Logo

Sonderjyske

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Andersen J. In: Emmery F.
Out: Andersen J.
46'
Sub
Waever S. In: Bergholt A.
Out: Waever S.
52' Event
Bech T.
Assist: Emmery F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aarhus in this Superliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aarhus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Aarhus
30%
Draws
41%
Sonderjyske
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sonderjyske

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aarhus lately — more wins on the board than Sonderjyske.
  • Model gives Aarhus a 29% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 11%
Sonderjyske Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarhus Sonderjyske
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.7 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Superliga
Aarhus vs Sonderjyske
2:1
Mar 15, 2026 Superliga
Sonderjyske vs Aarhus
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Superliga
Aarhus vs Sonderjyske
2:3
Oct 29, 2025 Betano Pokalen
Aarhus vs Sonderjyske
2:1
Jul 20, 2025 Superliga
Sonderjyske vs Aarhus
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aarhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Bech T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sonderjyske Compare

Top Goalscorer Hyseni O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarhus 47 / 100
Sonderjyske 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarhus Sonderjyske

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aarhus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarhus's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sonderjyske conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Aarhus has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aarhus VS Sonderjyske
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarhus

(Home)
20 Sept
Horsens
2 : 2
Aarhus
16 Sept
Skjold
1 : 6
Aarhus
13 Sept
Nordsjaelland
2 : 0
Aarhus
05 Sept
Aarhus
2 : 2
Silkeborg
02 Sept
Aarhus
0 : 2
Midtjylland
Page 1 of 6

Sonderjyske

(Away)
20 Sept
Sonderjyske
4 : 2
Randers FC
16 Sept
AB Copenhagen
3 : 1
Sonderjyske
13 Sept
Lyngby
1 : 1
Sonderjyske
06 Sept
Sonderjyske
2 : 5
Horsens
03 Sept
Thisted FC
0 : 2
Sonderjyske
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aarhus 32 19 10 3 62:32 67
2 Midtjylland 32 16 12 4 72:36 60
3 Nordsjaelland 32 15 5 12 51:46 50
4 Brondby 32 13 6 13 44:35 45
5 Viborg 32 13 5 14 49:51 44
6 Sonderjyske 32 12 8 12 44:49 44
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)