Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aarhus W vs Koge W

Denmark Denmark

A-Liga Women 2025/2026
Aarhus W Logo

Aarhus W

0 - 3
FT
Koge W Logo

Koge W

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Jereko M.
Assist: Nadim N.
16' Event
Nadim N.
Assist: Schultz M.
34' Event
Nadim N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The A-Liga Women 2025/2026 game between Aarhus W and Koge W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Koge W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Aarhus W
15%
Draws
65%
Koge W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Koge W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Koge W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Koge W a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Koge W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Aarhus W Clean Sheet 10%
Koge W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarhus W Koge W
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 7 23
Draws 3 5
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 1.29 2.44
Goals Conceded 2.11 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.54 2.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 A-Liga Women
Aarhus W vs Koge W
0:2
May 31, 2026 A-Liga Women
Aarhus W vs Koge W
0:3
Apr 5, 2026 A-Liga Women
Koge W vs Aarhus W
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 Danish Cup Women
Koge W vs Aarhus W
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 A-Liga Women
Koge W vs Aarhus W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aarhus W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.42
Avg xA / game 0.27

Koge W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nadim N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jereko M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.24
Avg xA / game 1.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarhus W 10 / 100
Koge W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarhus W Koge W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Koge W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Aarhus W scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Koge W has conceded goals in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Aarhus W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aarhus W VS Koge W
0.71 Goals Scored 2.63
2.29 Goals Conceded 0.38
86% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarhus W

(Home)
12 Sept
Aarhus W
4 : 2
FC Copenhagen W
05 Sept
Midtjylland W
2 : 1
Aarhus W
29 Aug
Aarhus W
0 : 2
Koge W
19 Aug
Fortuna Hjorring W
3 : 0
Aarhus W
16 Aug
Aarhus W
0 : 3
Brondby W
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Koge W

(Away)
19 Sept
Koge W
4 : 0
Midtjylland W
12 Sept
Fortuna Hjorring W
1 : 2
Koge W
05 Sept
Koge W
4 : 6
Nordsjaelland W
02 Sept
Koge W
1 : 1
PSV W
29 Aug
Aarhus W
0 : 2
Koge W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Koge W 24 16 5 3 50:22 53
2 Brondby W 24 14 8 2 39:16 50
3 Fortuna Hjorring W 24 12 5 7 37:21 41
4 Nordsjaelland W 24 9 10 5 47:26 37
5 Aarhus W 24 7 5 12 26:34 26
6 KoldingQ W 24 5 3 16 25:55 18
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)