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Abakaliki vs Ekiti United Prediction & H2H Stats

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NNL game between Abakaliki and Ekiti United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Abakaliki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Abakaliki
15%
Draws
64%
Ekiti United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ekiti United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Abakaliki's 1.1 goals per match outpaces what Ekiti United have produced (0.9).
  • Win probability leans Abakaliki's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular NNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Abakaliki Clean Sheet 20%
Ekiti United Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abakaliki Ekiti United
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.1 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 NNL
Ekiti United vs Abakaliki
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 NNL
Abakaliki vs Ekiti United
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abakaliki 36 / 100
Ekiti United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abakaliki Ekiti United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abakaliki scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Ekiti United has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Abakaliki went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Abakaliki VS Ekiti United
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Abakaliki

(Home)
01 Jun
Barau
1 : 0
Abakaliki
16 Apr
Rovers FC
1 : 0
Abakaliki
04 Apr
Abakaliki
1 : 0
Akwa United
28 Mar
Solution
2 : 1
Abakaliki
25 Mar
Ekiti United
1 : 0
Abakaliki
Page 1 of 7

Ekiti United

(Away)
16 Apr
Stormers
0 : 2
Ekiti United
12 Apr
Ekiti United
3 : 1
Rovers FC
29 Mar
Akwa United
3 : 1
Ekiti United
25 Mar
Ekiti United
1 : 0
Abakaliki
14 Mar
Solution
1 : 0
Ekiti United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Lagos 16 8 5 3 26:13 29
2 Beyond Limits FC 16 7 7 2 23:13 28
3 Heartland FC 16 8 3 5 21:17 27
4 Smart City 16 8 3 5 21:19 27
5 Sunshine Stars 16 7 4 5 18:14 25
6 Edel FC 16 6 2 8 14:20 20
7 Crown FC 16 4 4 8 18:19 16
8 Abia Comets 16 4 3 9 16:31 15
9 Gateway United 16 3 3 10 13:24 12
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Lagos 18 11 3 4 31:14 36
2 Akwa United 18 11 2 5 23:13 35
3 Ekiti United 18 10 0 8 21:17 30
4 Stormers 18 8 2 8 24:26 26
5 Abakaliki 18 7 4 7 19:17 25
6 Solution 18 8 1 9 18:22 25
7 Godswill Akpabio 18 6 6 6 27:24 24
8 Rovers FC 18 7 1 10 15:21 22
9 Osun United 18 6 2 10 16:24 20
10 First Bank 18 4 3 11 15:31 15
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doma United 14 8 2 4 18:11 26
2 Lobi 14 7 2 5 12:10 23
3 Basira 14 6 3 5 17:14 21
4 Kada Warriors 14 5 5 4 11:9 20
5 Sokoto United 14 5 3 6 9:11 18
6 ABS 14 5 2 7 10:16 17
7 Mighty Jets 14 5 1 8 14:16 16
8 City FC Abuja 14 4 4 6 10:14 16
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ranchers Bees 12 6 2 4 11:9 20
2 Adamawa Utd 12 6 0 6 12:11 18
3 Jigawa Golden Stars 12 5 3 4 12:15 18
4 Yobe Stars 12 5 2 5 14:13 17
5 Kebbi 12 5 1 6 11:11 16
6 Bichi First 12 4 3 5 11:9 15
7 Gombe 12 4 3 5 8:11 15
8 Sporting Supreme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)