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Abbey Villa vs Ards

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Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Abbey Villa
20%
Draws
29%
Ards
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Abbey Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Abbey Villa haven't matched Ards's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Abbey Villa a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Abbey Villa Clean Sheet 18%
Ards Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abbey Villa Ards
Matches Played 21 36
Wins 10 17
Draws 1 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.05 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.05 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Abbey Villa vs Ards
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abbey Villa 41 / 100
Ards 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abbey Villa Ards

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Abbey Villa's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Ards let in goals in 66% of their last 35 matches.

Recent resilience: Abbey Villa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ards
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Abbey Villa

(Home)
23 Jul
Abbey Villa
2 : 2
Ards
17 Aug
St. James' Swifts
4 : 1
Abbey Villa
05 Jan
Portadown
5 : 1
Abbey Villa
01 Dec
Tullycarnet
3 : 4
Abbey Villa
03 Nov
Shorts
1 : 3
Abbey Villa
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Ards

(Away)
04 Sept
Annagh
2 : 1
Ards
28 Aug
Ards
0 : 3
Queens University
22 Aug
Ards
1 : 2
Loughgall
15 Aug
Warrenpoint
1 : 3
Ards
11 Aug
Ards
2 : 2
Dundela
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