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Abertillery Bluebirds vs Goytre Utd

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Smith C.
45' Event
Edwards J.
53' Event
Watts K.

AI Match Summary

Goytre Utd in this Cymru South 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Goytre Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Abertillery Bluebirds
6%
Draws
90%
Goytre Utd
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Goytre Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Goytre Utd lately — more wins on the board than Abertillery Bluebirds.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Goytre Utd taking it.
  • Regular Cymru South 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Abertillery Bluebirds Clean Sheet 19%
Goytre Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abertillery Bluebirds Goytre Utd
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 2.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Cymru South
Abertillery Bluebirds vs Goytre Utd
0:4
Aug 28, 2023 Cymru South
Goytre Utd vs Abertillery Bluebirds
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Abertillery Bluebirds Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Goytre Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edwards J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abertillery Bluebirds 10 / 100
Goytre Utd 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abertillery Bluebirds Goytre Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abertillery Bluebirds's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Goytre Utd conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Goytre Utd lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Goytre Utd
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Abertillery Bluebirds

(Home)
21 Sept
New Inn
2 : 1
Abertillery Bluebirds
20 Apr
Abertillery Bluebirds
2 : 5
Afan Lido
16 Apr
Caerau Ely
5 : 3
Abertillery Bluebirds
13 Apr
Abertillery Bluebirds
0 : 7
Ammanford Town
29 Mar
Cambrian United
5 : 2
Abertillery Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6

Goytre Utd

(Away)
04 Jul
Goytre Utd
1 : 2
Barry Town
17 Oct
Goytre Utd
0 : 6
Cambrian United
20 Sept
Goytre Utd
2 : 1
Ammanford Town
15 Jul
Ton Pentre
1 : 2
Goytre Utd
28 Jun
Goytre Utd
2 : 3
Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Briton Ferry30232587:3971
2Llanelli30204680:4064
3Ammanford Town30176760:4257
4Cambrian United30148860:3750
5Caerau Ely301541172:6049
6Carmarthen Town301211750:3947
7Afan Lido301441268:5646
8Goytre Utd301271158:5943
9Cwmbran Celtic301261269:6442
10Baglan Dragons301181146:4141
11Trefelin301081247:6338
12Llantwit Major30981344:5435
13Taffs Well30881444:4932
14Pontardawe30881452:7032
15Abertillery Bluebirds30362134:9415
16Abergavenny Town30222620:848
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2024/2025 (Main)