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AC Ajaccio vs Dunkerque

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Michel Moretti Stadium, Ajaccio
Fri, Apr 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AC Ajaccio host Dunkerque in the Ligue 2 2025/2026. Dunkerque are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: AC Ajaccio at 0 goals for, 0 against; Dunkerque at 1.38 for, 2 against. Head-to-head, AC Ajaccio have won 0 to Dunkerque's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.60 vs 1.24, favoring Dunkerque. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
AC Ajaccio
39%
Draws
30%
Dunkerque
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Dunkerque carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
AC Ajaccio Clean Sheet 19%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Ajaccio Dunkerque
Matches Played 2 28
Wins 0 10
Draws 1 5
Losses 1 13
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Ligue 2
AC Ajaccio vs Dunkerque
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs AC Ajaccio
0:0
Mar 3, 2025 Ligue 2
AC Ajaccio vs Dunkerque
1:2
Nov 25, 2024 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs AC Ajaccio
1:0
Jan 23, 2024 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs AC Ajaccio
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Ajaccio 32 / 100
Dunkerque 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Ajaccio Dunkerque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunkerque let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: AC Ajaccio scored in 50% of their last 2 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

AC Ajaccio went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AC Ajaccio VS Dunkerque
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Ajaccio

(Home)
26 Jul
Martigues
1 : 1
AC Ajaccio
28 Mar
Martigues
2 : 0
AC Ajaccio

Dunkerque

(Away)
25 Jul
Dunkerque
3 : 1
Westerlo
22 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 1
Samsunspor
18 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 0
St. Liege
10 Jul
Anderlecht
2 : 1
Dunkerque
04 Jul
Dunkerque
0 : 2
Valenciennes
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)