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Stadium Background

AC Ajaccio vs Dunkerque

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Michel Moretti Stadium, Ajaccio
Fri, Apr 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AC Ajaccio host Dunkerque in the Ligue 2 2025/2026. AC Ajaccio are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: AC Ajaccio at 1.8 goals for, 1.1 against; Dunkerque at 1.33 for, 1.52 against. Head-to-head, AC Ajaccio have won 0 to Dunkerque's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring AC Ajaccio. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AC Ajaccio
25%
Draws
35%
Dunkerque
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: AC Ajaccio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Dunkerque carry the better recent record into this one.
  • AC Ajaccio are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
AC Ajaccio Clean Sheet 20%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Ajaccio Dunkerque
Matches Played 10 27
Wins 5 7
Draws 3 7
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 1.8 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Ligue 2
AC Ajaccio vs Dunkerque
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs AC Ajaccio
0:0
Mar 3, 2025 Ligue 2
AC Ajaccio vs Dunkerque
1:2
Nov 25, 2024 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs AC Ajaccio
1:0
Jan 23, 2024 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs AC Ajaccio
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Ajaccio 58 / 100
Dunkerque 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Ajaccio Dunkerque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Ajaccio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunkerque let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

Difficult form: Dunkerque registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

AC Ajaccio VS Dunkerque
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Ajaccio

(Home)

Dunkerque

(Away)
18 Sept
Pau
2 : 0
Dunkerque
12 Sept
Dunkerque
2 : 1
St Etienne
04 Sept
Dunkerque
1 : 1
Clermont
28 Aug
Nancy
2 : 0
Dunkerque
21 Aug
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Montpellier
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)