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AC Belluno vs Chions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Corbanese S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2020/2021 game between AC Belluno and Chions finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AC Belluno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
AC Belluno
30%
Draws
31%
Chions
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AC Belluno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • AC Belluno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chions a 31% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors AC Belluno here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
AC Belluno Clean Sheet 20%
Chions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Belluno Chions
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 8 6
Draws 14 12
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.07 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Serie D - Group C
AC Belluno vs Chions
1:0
Jan 24, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Chions vs AC Belluno
0:1
Apr 9, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Chions vs AC Belluno
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Serie D - Group C
AC Belluno vs Chions
4:1
Feb 13, 2019 Serie D - Group C
AC Belluno vs Chions
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Belluno Compare

Top Goalscorer Corbanese S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Chions Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Belluno 10 / 100
Chions 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Belluno Chions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chions Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Belluno's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Chions conceded in 85% of 39 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

AC Belluno has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chions
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Belluno

(Home)
20 Jul
Lazio
11 : 0
AC Belluno
12 Jun
Cjarlins Muzane
2 : 2
AC Belluno
06 Jun
AC Belluno
0 : 3
Delta Porto Tolle
30 May
Campodarsego
1 : 1
AC Belluno
23 May
AC Belluno
1 : 0
Chions
Page 1 of 6

Chions

(Away)
04 May
Chions
2 : 1
Calvi Noale
27 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 2
Chions
17 Apr
Chions
1 : 2
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
3 : 1
Chions
06 Apr
Chions
1 : 1
Treviso
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trento 38 23 12 3 65:35 81
2 Arzignano 38 19 10 9 52:34 67
3 Manzanese 38 19 9 10 64:44 66
4 Clodiense 38 17 11 10 51:41 62
5 Caldiero Terme 38 15 16 7 56:36 61
6 Mestre 38 18 6 14 58:49 60
7 Delta Porto Tolle 38 17 7 14 51:38 58
8 Luparense FC 38 15 9 14 52:48 54
9 AC Belluno 38 12 17 9 43:45 53
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 13 13 12 60:60 52
11 Cartigliano 38 13 13 12 42:45 52
12 San Giorgio-Sedico 38 13 10 15 48:48 49
13 Adriese 38 13 10 15 55:64 49
14 Ambrosiana 38 11 14 13 57:64 47
15 Este 38 9 16 13 45:53 43
16 Campodarsego 38 10 10 18 41:48 40
17 Union Feltre 38 10 9 19 41:59 39
18 Virtus Bolzano 38 10 8 20 46:52 38
19 Montebelluna 38 10 8 20 41:67 38
20 Chions 38 3 12 23 30:68 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2020/2021 (Play Offs)