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AC Chieri vs Calcio Derthona

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 game between AC Chieri and Calcio Derthona finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AC Chieri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
AC Chieri
30%
Draws
29%
Calcio Derthona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AC Chieri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • AC Chieri carry the better recent record into this one.
  • AC Chieri are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
AC Chieri Clean Sheet 15%
Calcio Derthona Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Chieri Calcio Derthona
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 11 9
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.03 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2018 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Calcio Derthona
4:2
Oct 28, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Calcio Derthona vs AC Chieri
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Chieri 57 / 100
Calcio Derthona 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Chieri Calcio Derthona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Chieri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Chieri's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Calcio Derthona has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

AC Chieri has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AC Chieri VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Chieri

(Home)
11 May
Cairese
2 : 0
AC Chieri
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
AC Chieri
1 : 2
Sanremese
13 Apr
Ligorna
1 : 1
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 8

Calcio Derthona

(Away)
06 May
Bra
1 : 2
Calcio Derthona
29 Apr
Calcio Derthona
1 : 1
Olginatese
22 Apr
Gozzano
6 : 1
Calcio Derthona
15 Apr
Calcio Derthona
1 : 3
Inveruno
08 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
1 : 1
Calcio Derthona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)