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AC Milan U19 vs Real Madrid U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 Centro Sportivo Peppino Vismara, Milan
Wed, Mar 13, 2024
2 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Garcia G.
(Penalty)
51' Event
Sia D.
59'
Sub
Ramon J. In: Serrano M.
Out: Ramon J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with AC Milan U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
AC Milan U19
15%
Draws
67%
Real Madrid U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Madrid U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • AC Milan U19 haven't matched Real Madrid U19's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Real Madrid U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Real Madrid U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AC Milan U19, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
AC Milan U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Real Madrid U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Milan U19 Real Madrid U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 22
Draws 9 2
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.4 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2024 UEFA Youth League
Real Madrid U19 vs AC Milan U19
2:1
Mar 13, 2024 UEFA Youth League
AC Milan U19 vs Real Madrid U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Milan U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sia D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Real Madrid U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Milan U19 10 / 100
Real Madrid U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Milan U19 Real Madrid U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Madrid U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Milan U19 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Real Madrid U19 conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

AC Milan U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AC Milan U19 VS Real Madrid U19
2 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Milan U19

(Home)
11 Dec
AC Milan U19
1 : 3
Crvena zvezda U19
26 Nov
Slovan Bratislava U19
2 : 3
AC Milan U19
05 Nov
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
AC Milan U19
22 Oct
AC Milan U19
1 : 1
Club Brugge U19
01 Oct
Leverkusen U19
3 : 1
AC Milan U19
Page 1 of 6

Real Madrid U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Real Madrid U19
3 : 1
S. Wanderers U20
08 Sept
Real Madrid U19
3 : 0
Inter U19
20 Apr
Club Brugge U19
1 : 2
Real Madrid U19
17 Apr
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
PSG U19
18 Mar
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
Sporting CP U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Basel U19 0
Bayern U19 2
Feyenoord U19 -
TBD -
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 1
Inter U19 0
Lens U19 -
TBD -
Salzburg U19 -
TBD -
Nantes U19 4
Sevilla U19 3
Zilina U19 2
Dortmund U19 1
FC Copenhagen U19 -
TBD -
Mainz U19 3
Barcelona U19 2
Manchester City U19 -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar U19 1
Atl. Madrid U19 0
FC Porto U19 -
TBD -
AC Milan U19 -
TBD -
Partizan U19 0
Braga U19 2
Real Madrid U19 -
TBD -
Midtjylland U19 1
RB Leipzig U19 2
1/8-finals
Bayern U19 3
Feyenoord U19 2
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 3
Lens U19 2
Salzburg U19 0
Nantes U19 1
Zilina U19 1
FC Copenhagen U19 2
Mainz U19 2
Manchester City U19 1
AZ Alkmaar U19 1
FC Porto U19 2
AC Milan U19 3
Braga U19 2
Real Madrid U19 2
RB Leipzig U19 0
Quarter-finals
Bayern U19 1
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 3
Nantes U19 4
FC Copenhagen U19 3
Mainz U19 1
FC Porto U19 4
AC Milan U19 2
Real Madrid U19 1
Semi-finals
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 1
Nantes U19 0
FC Porto U19 2
AC Milan U19 3
Final
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 3
AC Milan U19 0