Sport Picks
AC Milan U23 vs Sondrio Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Felice Chinetti, Solbiate Arno 
Match Events
5'
5'
Traore C.
(Penalty)
23'
23'
Longo P.
58'
58'
Geroli M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 game between AC Milan U23 and Sondrio finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AC Milan U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Sondrio haven't matched AC Milan U23's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on AC Milan U23 taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
AC Milan U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Sondrio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AC Milan U23 | Sondrio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.09 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group B
AC Milan U23 vs Sondrio
2:2
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Sondrio vs AC Milan U23
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AC Milan U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Geroli M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 1.04
Sondrio Compare
Top Goalscorer Longo P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kanta B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AC Milan U23 41 / 100
Sondrio 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AC Milan U23 Sondrio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sondrio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
AC Milan U23 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Recent resilience: AC Milan U23 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
AC Milan U23 VS Sondrio
2.38 Goals Scored 2.2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.8
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 40%
Recent Form & Match History
AC Milan U23
(Home) 20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2 AC Milan U23
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1 Brusaporto
12 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 0 AC Milan U23
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3 Caldiero Terme
02 Sept
Everton U21
1 : 2 AC Milan U23
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1 Brusaporto
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3 Caldiero Terme
03 May
AC Milan U23
10 : 1 Vogherese
19 Apr
AC Milan U23
0 : 1 Varesina
02 Apr
AC Milan U23
1 : 1 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 3
Sondrio
(Away) 02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1 Sondrio
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1 Real Calepina
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3 Sondrio
12 Apr
Sondrio
1 : 1 Caldiero Terme
02 Apr
Breno
2 : 1 Sondrio
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1 Sondrio
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3 Sondrio
02 Apr
Breno
2 : 1 Sondrio
22 Mar
AC Milan U23
2 : 2 Sondrio
01 Mar
Chievo
1 : 0 Sondrio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
