Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AC Oulu vs Mariehamn

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Raatin stadion, Oulu
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Dahlstrom S.
17'
Patut E.
46'
Sub
Ghezali L. In: Jokelainen N.
Out: Ghezali L.

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between AC Oulu and Mariehamn finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AC Oulu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
AC Oulu
15%
Draws
59%
Mariehamn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mariehamn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • AC Oulu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Mariehamn taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 20%
Mariehamn Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Oulu Mariehamn
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.14 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs AC Oulu
1:1
Jun 18, 2026 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs Mariehamn
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs AC Oulu
2:0
Jul 26, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs AC Oulu
0:1
May 17, 2025 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs Mariehamn
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Oulu Compare

Top Goalscorer Korkko J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kone A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Mariehamn Compare

Top Goalscorer Hyvonen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Oulu 16 / 100
Mariehamn 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Oulu Mariehamn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mariehamn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mariehamn's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

AC Oulu's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

AC Oulu has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AC Oulu VS Mariehamn
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Oulu

(Home)
18 Sept
AC Oulu
0 : 1
Inter Turku
12 Sept
AC Oulu
1 : 2
Gnistan
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 0
SJK
22 Aug
Jaro
0 : 1
AC Oulu
Page 1 of 6

Mariehamn

(Away)
18 Sept
SJK
2 : 1
Mariehamn
12 Sept
Mariehamn
1 : 0
TPS
08 Sept
Lahti
2 : 1
Mariehamn
31 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
Jaro
23 Aug
KuPS
2 : 4
Mariehamn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 38:23 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 25:25 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 29:22 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 26:19 32
8 TPS 22 8 7 7 28:23 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 34:37 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 25:33 19
11 Jaro 22 3 6 13 18:44 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 17:43 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)