Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Daniel
38'
38'
Daniel
48'
48'
Felipe Clemente
AI Match Summary
Acao in this Serie D 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Acao.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Acao
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ceilandia lately — more wins on the board than Acao.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Acao taking it.
- Regular Serie D 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Acao Clean Sheet 68%
Ceilandia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Acao | Ceilandia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 26, 2022 Serie D
Acao vs Ceilandia
2:1
May 7, 2022 Serie D
Ceilandia vs Acao
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Acao Compare
Top Goalscorer Daniel
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7
Ceilandia Compare
Top Goalscorer Felipe Clemente
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Acao 77 / 100
Ceilandia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Acao Ceilandia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Acao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Acao found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Ceilandia conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Acao went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Acao VS Ceilandia
1.8 Goals Scored 1
1.6 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Acao
(Home) 20 May
Acao
1 : 2 Santa Cruz MT
17 May
Acao
2 : 1 Cacerense
09 May
Paulistano FC
1 : 2 Acao
02 May
Uirapuru
2 : 2 Acao
20 Apr
Acao
2 : 2 Atletico MT
Page 1 of 6
20 May
Acao
1 : 2 Santa Cruz MT
17 May
Acao
2 : 1 Cacerense
20 Apr
Acao
2 : 2 Atletico MT
28 Jun
Acao
1 : 2 Dom Bosco
22 Jun
Acao
0 : 2 Cacerense
Page 1 of 4
Ceilandia
(Away) 28 Jun
Luverdense
1 : 1 Ceilandia
20 Jun
Ceilandia
1 : 2 Luverdense
07 Jun
Mixto
1 : 1 Ceilandia
30 May
Ceilandia
1 : 1 Goiatuba EC
23 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 3 Ceilandia
Page 1 of 7
28 Jun
Luverdense
1 : 1 Ceilandia
07 Jun
Mixto
1 : 1 Ceilandia
23 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 3 Ceilandia
16 May
Capital
2 : 1 Ceilandia
03 May
Operario VG
0 : 1 Ceilandia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amazonas | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 37:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Rio Branco AC | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 24:11 | 27 |
| 3 | Sao Raimundo AM | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19:11 | 24 |
| 4 | Sao Raimundo RR | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Porto Velho | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28:20 | 21 |
| 6 | Trem | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 29:27 | 16 |
| 7 | SC Humaita | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11:32 | 6 |
| 8 | Nautico FC | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15:57 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moto Club | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 24:14 | 28 |
| 2 | Tocantinopolis | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23:21 | 22 |
| 3 | Pacajus | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 4 | SE Juventude | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14:14 | 20 |
| 5 | Fluminense-PI | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 6 | Castanhal | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:15 | 17 |
| 7 | Tuna Luso | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12:25 | 13 |
| 8 | Julho Esporte | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13:19 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Retro | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 27:6 | 33 |
| 2 | America RN | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 20:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Sousa | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18:17 | 23 |
| 4 | Afogados da Ingazeira | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Icasa | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | 22 |
| 6 | Sao Paulo Crystal | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13:26 | 13 |
| 7 | Globo FC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 8 | Crato | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5:33 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASA | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Lagarto | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 23:12 | 25 |
| 3 | Jacuipense | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 19:15 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14:15 | 19 |
| 5 | Sergipe | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14:12 | 18 |
| 6 | Juazeirense | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 8:13 | 16 |
| 7 | Clube Sociedade Esportiva | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19:22 | 14 |
| 8 | Alagoinhas | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13:24 | 10 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brasiliense | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 33 |
| 2 | Anapolis | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14:13 | 21 |
| 4 | Operario VG | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 10:12 | 21 |
| 5 | Ceilandia | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Ipora | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12:12 | 15 |
| 7 | Gremio Anapolis | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12:14 | 14 |
| 8 | Acao | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pouso Alegre | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12:9 | 26 |
| 2 | Bahia de Feira | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 17:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Real Noroeste | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Nova Venecia | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 5 | Internacional de Limeira | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 17 |
| 6 | Ferroviaria | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15:14 | 16 |
| 7 | URT | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 13:26 | 16 |
| 8 | Caldense | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8:20 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Bernardo | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13:3 | 27 |
| 2 | Parana | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 13:8 | 23 |
| 3 | Portuguesa RJ | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | 21 |
| 4 | Osasco Sporting | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14:15 | 20 |
| 5 | Nova Iguacu | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 13:14 | 20 |
| 6 | Santo Andre | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Cianorte | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Perolas Negras | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 9:23 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SER Caxias do Sul | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:12 | 27 |
| 2 | Aimore | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 27 |
| 3 | FC Cascavel | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 16:10 | 25 |
| 4 | Azuriz | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:12 | 24 |
| 5 | Sao Luiz | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 18:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Marcilio Dias | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 7 | Gremio Juventus | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11:17 | 12 |
| 8 | Prospera Criciuma | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
